Feinberg Forecast
Award Predictions 2015-16

Scott's picks will be updated each week leading up to the Oscars. He has been forecasting awards since 2001 and has one of the strongest track records of all pundits at doing so.

This Week's Updates:

Drawing upon personal impressions (based on advance screenings of hundreds of films each year), publicly available information (release dates, genres, talent rosters and teasers/trailers often offer valuable clues), historical considerations (comparing and contrasting how other films with similar pedigrees have resonated), precursor awards (some awards groups have historically correlated with the Academy more than others) and conversations with industry insiders (including fellow members of the press, awards strategists, filmmakers and awards voters), THR’s awards analyst currently projects…

Notify Me About Weekly Predictions

Best Picture - Front Runners

1
The Revenant
20th Century Fox
Arnon Milchan, Steve Golin, Mary Parent, Keith Redmon
2
The Martian
20th Century Fox
Simon Kinberg, Ridley Scott, Michael Schaefer, Mark Huffam
3
Spotlight
Open Road
Michael Sugar & Steve Golin, Nicole Rocklin, Blye Pagon Faust
4
Brooklyn
Fox Searchlight
Finola Dwyer & Amanda Posey
5
Room
A24
Ed Guiney
6
Bridge of Spies
DreamWorks
Steven Spielberg, Marc Platt, Kristie Macosko Krieger
7
Joy
20th Century Fox
John Davis, Ken Mok, David O. Russell, Megan Ellison, Jon Gordon
8
Straight Outta Compton
Universal
Ice Cube, Dr. Dre, F. Gary Gray, Matt Alvarez, Scott Bernstein
9
The Big Short
Paramount
Brad Pitt & Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner
10
The Danish Girl
Focus Features
Gail Mutrux, Anne Harrison, Tim Bevan & Eric Fellner, Tom Hooper

Best Picture - Major Threats

Best Picture - Possibilities

Best Picture - Long Shots

Best Directing - Front Runners

1
Ridley Scott
The Martian
2
Alejandro G. Inarritu
The Revenant
3
Tom McCarthy
Spotlight
4
David O. Russell
Joy
5
Steven Spielberg
Bridge of Spies

Best Directing - Major Threats

Best Directing - Possibilities

Best Directing - Long Shots

Best Actor - Front Runners

1
Leonardo DiCaprio
The Revenant
2
Will Smith
Concussion
3
Johnny Depp
Black Mass
4
Matt Damon
The Martian
5
Eddie Redmayne
The Danish Girl

Best Actor - Major Threats

Best Actor - Possibilities

Best Actor - Long Shots

Best Actress - Front Runners

1
Brie Larson
Room
2
Saoirse Ronan
Brooklyn
3
Jennifer Lawrence
Joy
4
Cate Blanchett
Carol
5
Charlotte Rampling
45 Years

Best Actress - Major Threats

Best Actress - Possibilities

Best Actress - Long Shots

Best Supporting Actor - Front Runners

1
Mark Ruffalo
Spotlight
2
Michael Keaton
Spotlight
3
Tom Hardy
The Revenant
4
Paul Dano
Love & Mercy
5
Benicio Del Toro
Sicario

Best Supporting Actor - Major Threats

Best Supporting Actor - Possibilities

Best Supporting Actor - Long Shots

Best Supporting Actress - Front Runners

1
Alicia Vikander
The Danish Girl
2
Rooney Mara
Carol
3
Jane Fonda
Youth
4
Elizabeth Banks
Love & Mercy
5
Jennifer Jason Leigh
The Hateful Eight

Best Supporting Actress - Major Threats

Best Supporting Actress - Possibilities

Best Supporting Actress - Long Shots

Best Adapted Screenplay - Front Runners

1
The Martian
Drew Goddard
2
The Revenant
Alejandro G. Inarritu, Mark L. Smith
3
Brooklyn
Nick Hornby
4
Room
Emma Donoghue
5
Steve Jobs
Aaron Sorkin

Best Adapted Screenplay - Major Threats

Best Adapted Screenplay - Possibilities

Best Adapted Screenplay - Long Shots

Best Original Screenplay - Front Runners

1
Spotlight
Tom McCarthy, Josh Singer
2
Joy
David O. Russell & Annie Mumolo
3
The Hateful Eight
Quentin Tarantino
4
Inside Out
Josh Cooley, Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve
5
Bridge of Spies
Ethan Coen, Joel Coen, Matt Charman

Best Original Screenplay - Major Threats

Best Original Screenplay - Possibilities

Best Original Screenplay - Long Shots

Best Animated Feature - Front Runners

1
Inside Out
Disney-Pixar
2
Anomalisa
Paramount
3
The Good Dinosaur
Disney-Pixar
4
The Prophet
GKIDS
5
Shaun the Sheep Movie
Lionsgate

Best Animated Feature - Major Threats

Best Animated Feature - Possibilities

Best Animated Feature - Long Shots

Best Documentary Feature - Front Runners

1
Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief
HBO
2
Amy
A24
3
Cartel Land
The Orchard
4
Best of Enemies
Magnolia
5
The Look of Silence
Drafthouse Films

Best Documentary Feature - Major Threats

Best Documentary Feature - Possibilities

Best Documentary Feature - Long Shots

Best Foreign Language Film - Front Runners

1
Son of Saul
Hungary
Laszlo Nemes
2
Mustang
France
Deniz Gamze Erguven
3
Labyrinth of Lies
Germany
4
A Pigeon Sat on a Branch Reflecting on Existence
Sweden
5
Goodnight Mommy
Austria

Best Foreign Language Film - Major Threats

Best Foreign Language Film - Possibilities

Best Foreign Language Film - Long Shots

Best Original Score - Front Runners

1
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
John Williams
2
The Danish Girl
Alexandre Desplat
3
The Revenant
Ryuichi Sakamoto
4
The Martian
Harry Gregson-Williams
5
The 33
James Horner

Best Original Score - Major Threats

Best Original Score - Possibilities

Best Original Score - Long Shots

Best Original Song - Front Runners

1
"See You Again"
Furious 7
DJ Frank E, Charlie Puth, Wiz Khalifa, Andrew Cedar
2
"Til It Happens to You"
The Hunting Ground
Lady Gaga, Diane Warren
3
"Flashlight"
Pitch Perfect 2
Sia Furler, Christian Guzman, Jason Moore, Sam Smith
4
"One Kind of Love"
Love & Mercy
Brian Wilson
5
"Love Me Like You Do"
Fifty Shades of Grey
Max Martin, Savan Kotecha, Ilya Salmanzadeh, Ali Payami, Tove Nilsson

Best Original Song - Major Threats

Best Original Song - Possibilities

Best Original Song - Long Shots

Best Visual Effects - Front Runners

1
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Chris Corbould, Roger Guyett, Paul Kavanagh and Neal Scanlan
2
Jurassic World
3
The Walk
4
Mad Max: Fury Road
Andrew Jackson, Dan Oliver, Andy Williams and Tom Wood
5
The Martian
Anders Langlands, Chris Lawrence, Richard Stammers and Steven Warner

Best Visual Effects - Major Threats

Best Visual Effects - Possibilities

Best Visual Effects - Long Shots