'Ebert' Cohost Christy Lemire: 'Sexy' 'Social Network' Will Win Young Oscar Voters
Just before the PGA and Oscar noms, critic Christy Lemire and an experts' panel predict a Social Network win -- plus, Tom O'Neil shares Bob Weinstein's Oscar Voter Sheep Theory.
At Saturday's Hollywood Museum Oscar debate, AP's Christy Lemire, who injects new blood to the movie review show Roger Ebert Presents, told me and Pete Hammond, who switched our best picture predictions from The King's Speech to The Social Network, that we were right, and the Facebook movie's victory is likely thanks to new young blood in the Academy.
"It's sexy and it moves so fluidly and it's like the best of what David Fincher and Aaron Sorkin do simultaneously. And I would argue that it's like Network."
"Which lost best picture," O'Neil objected.
"But it was in there!" She rejects the theory that King's Speech will win because it's more "huggable": "No Country for Old Men is not huggable, it's not a happy feel-good movie in any way, and it won, what, four Oscars?"
Because the debate happened the day before the PGA put a pie in our eyes with its upset vote for King's Speech, O'Neil posed the question of why everyone was voting the same way. Oscar voters are bullheaded, so "why are they such sheep?" O'Neil quoted what Oscar campaign legend Cynthia Swartz told him: "I didn't understand it either, until Bob Weinstein, Harvey's brother, gave me the answer, and the answer is, 'Everybody wants to be on the winning team.' "
"Hence Lakers fans," quipped Lemire.
Follow THR's The Race Awards blog @timappelo.
Feedback, brickbats, shameless lobbying to: Tim.Appelo@thr.com.
2014 Emmy Awards
Covering The Race
Lead Awards Blogger & Analyst
Scott, whose THR coverage appears both in print and online, is one of the film industry's most experienced and trusted awards analysts, and possesses one of the strongest track records at forecasting the Oscars. His best showings came in 2006 and 2013, when he called 21 of 24 winners; he was also the only pundit to project long-shot best picture nominations for The Reader (2008), The Blind Side (2009) and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (2011). An alumnus of Brandeis University, he previously ran "The Feinberg Files" blog for the Los Angeles Times. He is now a voting member of both the Broadcast Film Critics Association and the Broadcast Television Journalists Association, and is writing a book about film history for young people for which he has interviewed more than 350 high-profile Hollywood figures.
Gregg contributes awards news, features online, and "The Race" column in print.
Tim contributes awards news and features, both in print and online.