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OCT
20
7 DAYS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 19 Weeks Until the 86th Oscars)

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 19 Weeks Until the 86th Oscars)

Every week until the 86th Oscars on March 2, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst, Scott Feinberg, will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," reflecting his latest take on the standings of the contenders in each of the major categories. For more about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, scroll to the bottom of this post. Here, meanwhile, is a list of developments since the last forecast that helped to shape this one…

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OCT
13
2 WKS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 20 Weeks Until the 86th Oscars)

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 20 Weeks Until the 86th Oscars)

Every week until the 86th Oscars on March 2, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst, Scott Feinberg, will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," reflecting his latest take on the standings of the contenders in each of the major categories. For more about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, scroll to the bottom of this post. Here, meanwhile, is a list of developments since the last forecast that helped to shape this one …

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OCT
6
3 WKS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 21 Weeks Until the 86th Oscars)

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 21 Weeks Until the 86th Oscars)

Every week until the 86th Oscars on March 2, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst, Scott Feinberg, will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," reflecting his latest take on the standings of the contenders in each of the major categories.

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SEP
29
4 WKS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 22 Weeks Until the 86th Oscars)

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 22 Weeks Until the 86th Oscars)

Every week until the 86th Oscars on March 2, 2014, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst Scott Feinberg will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," reflecting his latest take on the standings of the contenders in each of the major categories. For more about Scott and how he arrives at his projections, scroll to the bottom of this post. Here, meanwhile, is a list of developments since the last forecast that helped to shape this one...

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SEP
19
1 month

FEINBERG FORECAST: The Lay of the Land a Week Before the 51st New York Film Festival

FEINBERG FORECAST: The Lay of the Land a Week Before the 51st New York Film Festival

Every week through to the 86th Oscars on March 2, 2014, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst Scott Feinberg will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," which will reflect his latest take on the standings of the contenders in each of the major categories.

Scott has been forecasting the Oscars since 2001 and has one of the strongest track records at doing so. His best showings came in 2006 and 2013, when he correctly called 21 out of 24 winners. He was the only pundit to project best picture nominations for The Reader (2008), The Blind Side (2009) and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (2011), among other long-shots.

He factors into his projections personal impressions (based on advance screenings), publicly-available information (release dates, genres, talent rosters and teasers/trailers often offer valuable clues), historical considerations (comparing and contrasting how other films with similar pedigrees have resonated), precursor awards (some awards groups have historically correlated with the Academy more than others), and conversations with industry insiders (including fellow members of the press, awards strategists, filmmakers and awards voters).

Without further ado, here is the latest Feinberg Forecast...

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SEP
11
2 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: With Dust From Toronto Still Settling, a Look at the New Landscape

FEINBERG FORECAST: With Dust From Toronto Still Settling, a Look at the New Landscape

Every week through the 86th Oscars on March 2, 2014, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst Scott Feinberg will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," which will reflect his latest take on the standings of the contenders in each of the major categories.

Scott has been forecasting the Oscars since 2001 and has one of the strongest track records at doing so. His best showings came in 2006 and 2013, when he correctly called 21 out of 24 winners. He was the only pundit to project best picture nominations for The Reader (2008), The Blind Side (2009) and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (2011), among other long-shots.

PHOTOS: THR Honors 'Mandela' Stars Idris Elba, Naomie Harris at Swanky Toronto Fete

He factors into his projections personal impressions (based on advance screenings); publicly-available information (release dates, genres, talent rosters and teasers/trailers often offer valuable clues); historical considerations (comparing and contrasting how other films with similar pedigrees have resonated); precursor awards (some awards groups have historically correlated with the Academy more than others); and conversations with industry insiders (including fellow members of the press, awards strategists, filmmakers and awards voters).

Without further ado, here is the latest Feinberg Forecast...

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SEP
4
2 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: The Oscar Landscape After Telluride, Before Toronto and New York

FEINBERG FORECAST: The Oscar Landscape After Telluride, Before Toronto and New York

Every week through the 86th Oscars on March 2, 2014, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst Scott Feinberg will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," which will reflect his latest take on the standings of the contenders in each of the major categories.

Scott has been forecasting the Oscars since 2001 and has one of the strongest track records at doing so. His best showings came in 2006 and 2013, when he correctly called 21 out of 24 winners. He was the only pundit to project best picture nominations for The Reader (2008), The Blind Side (2009) and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (2011), among other long-shots.

He factors into his projections personal impressions (based on advance screenings); publicly-available information (release dates, genres, talent rosters and teasers/trailers often offer valuable clues); historical considerations (comparing and contrasting how other films with similar pedigrees have resonated); precursor awards (some awards groups have historically correlated with the Academy more than others); and conversations with industry insiders (including fellow members of the press, awards strategists, filmmakers and awards voters).

Without further ado, here is the latest Feinberg Forecast...

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AUG
28
2 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: First Look at the 2013-2014 Oscar Landscape

FEINBERG FORECAST: First Look at the 2013-2014 Oscar Landscape

Every week through the 86th Oscars on March 2, 2014, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst Scott Feinberg will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," which will reflect his latest take on the standings of the contenders in each of the major categories.

Scott has been forecasting the Oscars since 2001 and has one of the strongest track records at doing so. His best showings came in 2006 and 2013, when he correctly called 21 out of 24 winners. He was the only pundit to project best picture nominations for The Reader (2008), The Blind Side (2009) and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (2011), among other long-shots.

PHOTOS: 30 Years of Oscar Hosts: Johnny Carson, Seth MacFarlane, Ellen

He factors into his projections personal impressions (based on advance screenings); publicly-available information (release dates, genres, talent rosters and teasers/trailers often offer valuable clues); historical considerations (comparing and contrasting how other films with similar pedigrees have resonated); precursor awards (some awards groups have historically correlated with the Academy more than others); and conversations with industry insiders (including fellow members of the press, awards strategists, filmmakers and awards voters).

Scott's first Feinberg Forecast of the 2012-2013 awards season correctly called 8 of the 9 eventual best picture Oscar nominees and the eventual best actor and best actress Oscar winners. Still, he cautions that any/all projections that come this early in the awards season -- just before the Venice, Telluride, Toronto and New York film festivals -- are merely educated guesses.

Without further ado, here is the first Feinberg Forecast of the 2013-2014 awards season...

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FEB
7
9 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 3 Weeks Until the 85th Oscars)

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 3 Weeks Until the 85th Oscars)

Every week through the Oscars on Feb. 24, The Hollywood Reporter's awards analyst Scott Feinberg will release a new "Feinberg Forecast," a post in which he recaps the most noteworthy awards-related news of the past week and shares his latest assessment of the standings in each of the major awards categories. (For more information about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, as well as a key for the various colors and acronyms that appear throughout them, scroll to the bottom of this post.)

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JAN
30
9 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 4 Weeks Until the 85th Oscars)

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 4 Weeks Until the 85th Oscars)

Every week through the Oscars on Feb. 24, The Hollywood Reporter's awards analyst Scott Feinberg will release a new "Feinberg Forecast," a post in which he recaps the most noteworthy awards-related news of the past week and shares his latest assessment of the standings in each of the major awards categories.

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JAN
20
9 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 5 Weeks Until the 85th Oscars)

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 5 Weeks Until the 85th Oscars)

Every week through the Oscars on Feb. 24, The Hollywood Reporter's awards analyst Scott Feinberg will release a new "Feinberg Forecast," a post in which he recaps the most noteworthy awards-related news of the past week and shares his latest assessment of the standings in each of the major awards categories. (For more information about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, as well as a key for the various colors and acronyms that appear throughout them, scroll to the bottom of this post.)

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JAN
16
9 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Scott's First Projections Since the Oscar Noms and Golden Globes

Every week through the Oscars on Feb. 24, The Hollywood Reporter's awards analyst Scott Feinberg will release a new "Feinberg Forecast," a post in which he recaps the most noteworthy awards-related news of the past week and shares his latest assessment of the standings in each of the major awards categories. (For more information about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, as well as a key for the various colors and acronyms that appear throughout them, scroll to the bottom of this post.)

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JAN
9
10 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Scott's Final Picks for Thursday's 85th Academy Awards Nominations

FEINBERG FORECAST: Scott's Final Picks for Thursday's 85th Academy Awards Nominations

On Thursday morning, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will put an end to months of speculation -- including plenty by me, as reflected in charts posted on this blog every weekend since September -- by announcing its nominees for the 85th Annual Academy Awards. That means that it is now time, for better or worse, for me to man up and lock in my final predictions of what/who those nominees will be.

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JAN
6
10 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 7 Weeks Until the 85th Oscars)

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 7 Weeks Until the 85th Oscars)

Note: A special edition of the "Feinberg Forecast," featuring Scott's final pre-nominations forecast, will post Wednesday.

Every week through the Oscars on Feb. 24, The Hollywood Reporter's awards analyst Scott Feinberg will release a new "Feinberg Forecast," a post in which he recaps the most noteworthy awards-related news of the past week and shares his latest assessment of the standings in each of the major awards categories. (For more information about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, as well as a key for the various colors and acronyms that appear throughout them, scroll to the bottom of this post.)

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