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JUN
2
2 MOS

Tonys: Who Should Win, Who Will Win (Analysis)

Tonys: Who Should Win, Who Will Win (Analysis)

A version of this story appears in the June 13 issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.

NEW YORK — With less than a week to go until the 68th Tony Awards are dished out at Radio City Music Hall on June 8 (voting closes on June 6), The Hollywood Reporter's theater critic David Rooney and awards analyst Scott Feinberg offer up their picks for who deserves to win and who is most likely to win, respectively, in all of the major categories. 

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MAY
27
2 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Tonys Race Heats Up With 10 Days Until Voting Closes

FEINBERG FORECAST: Tonys Race Heats Up With 10 Days Until Voting Closes

The following projections and commentary are based on THR awards analyst Scott Feinberg's ongoing viewings of the nominees; his consultations with THR theater critic David Rooney; and careful readings of other Broadway commentators, plus Tony history books, rule books and much more. You can expect new and updated forecasts each Monday [Tuesday this week due to the holiday] through the Tonys!

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MAY
12
3 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: A Look at the Tony Awards Field 27 Days Out

FEINBERG FORECAST: A Look at the Tony Awards Field 27 Days Out

The following projections and commentary are based on THR awards analyst Scott Feinberg's ongoing viewings of the nominees; his consultations with THR theater critic David Rooney; and careful readings of other Broadway commentators, plus Tony history books, rule books and much more. You can expect new and updated forecasts each Monday through the Tonys!

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MAY
5
3 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: First Post-Nominations Look at the Tony Awards Landscape

FEINBERG FORECAST: First Post-Nominations Look at the Tony Awards Landscape

The following projections and commentary are based on THR awards analyst Scott Feinberg's viewings of contenders, which will continue through the coming weeks; his consultations with THR theater critic David Rooney; and careful readings of other Broadway commentators, plus Tony history books, rule books and much more. You can expect new and updated forecasts each Monday through the Tonys!

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APR
28
3 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Projections for the Tony Award Nominations

FEINBERG FORECAST: Projections for the Tony Award Nominations

As a longtime fan and student of Broadway, I am very happy to share that the theater awards season -- like the awards seasons for film and television -- will now be a part of my portfolio at The Hollywood Reporter, and that I will be based in New York during the month leading up to the 68th Tony Awards ceremony on June 8 at Radio City Music Hall.

This year's Tony nominations will be announced Tuesday morning, after which you will notice a surge in Tony-related posts on this blog. I have already seen a number of the likely nominees -- All the Way, If/Then, etc. -- and intend to see the rest as quickly as possible so that I can write about them and the people responsible for them in a variety of ways. As with the other two awards seasons, you can expect analysis, interviews and, yes, forecasts, the first of which appears below.

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FEB
25
5 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Scott's Final Picks for Who Will Win at Sunday's Oscars (Analysis)

FEINBERG FORECAST: Scott's Final Picks for Who Will Win at Sunday's Oscars (Analysis)

An abbreviated version of this story first appeared in the March 7 issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.

This is the closest Oscar race in years -- nobody feels confident about who will win several of the highest-profile categories -- but who better to put your trust in than THR's awards analyst Scott Feinberg?

Scott has been forecasting the Oscars since 2001 and has one of the strongest track records of all awards pundits at doing so. His best showings came in 2006 and 2013, when he correctly called 21 out of 24 winners. He was the only pundit to project best picture nominations for The Reader (2008), The Blind Side (2009) and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (2011) and acting noms for Silver Linings Playbook's Jacki Weaver (2012) and The Wolf of Wall Street's Jonah Hill (2013), among other long shots.

PHOTOS: 2014 Oscar Nominees

He factors into his projections personal impressions (based on advance screenings of hundreds of films each year), publicly available information (release dates, genres, talent rosters and teasers/trailers often offer valuable clues), historical considerations (comparing and contrasting how other films with similar pedigrees have resonated), precursor awards (some awards groups have historically correlated with the Academy more than others) and conversations with industry insiders (including fellow members of the press, awards strategists, filmmakers and awards voters).

Without further ado, here are Scott's picks …

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FEB
17
5 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Who's Up and Who's Down With Just Two Weeks Before the 86th Oscars

FEINBERG FORECAST: Who's Up and Who's Down With Just Two Weeks Before the 86th Oscars

Between now and the 86th Oscars on March 2, 2014, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst, Scott Feinberg, will post only one additional "Feinberg Forecast," which will reflect his final projections in all 24 categories. For more about Feinberg and how he arrives at his picks, as well as a key to the acronyms that appear in this post, scroll to the bottom of this page.

RELATED: Fill Out Your Oscar Ballot

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JAN
31
6 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Oscars Landscape in the Home Stretch

FEINBERG FORECAST: Oscars Landscape in the Home Stretch

Every week until the 86th Oscars on March 2, 2014, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst, Scott Feinberg, will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," wherein he presents a summary of major developments since the last update that helped to shape his current opinions, and then lists his revised projections. For more about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, as well as an acronyms key, scroll to the bottom of this post.

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JAN
18
6 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: How Oscar Noms, Critics' Choice Change the Race

Every week until the 86th Oscars on March 2, 2014, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst, Scott Feinberg, will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," wherein he presents a summary of major developments since the last update that helped to shape this one and then lists his revised projections. For more about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, as well as an acronyms key, scroll to the bottom of this post.

PHOTOS: Oscar Nominees' Most Colorful Reactions

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JAN
15
6 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Scott's Final Picks for Thursday's 86th Academy Awards Nominations

FEINBERG FORECAST: Scott's Final Picks for Thursday's 86th Academy Awards Nominations

On Thursday morning at 8:30am EST/5:30am PST, following months of screenings, socializing and speculation, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will announce its nominees for the 86th Annual Academy Awards. That means that, for better or worse, it is now time for me to man up and lock in my final predictions of what/who those nominees will be.

PHOTOS: Golden Globes 2014: Red-Carpet Arrivals 

I urge you to keep in mind that what follows is not necessarily what I feel should happen -- that can be better gleaned from my year-end top 10 list -- but rather what I think will happen, based on a full year of movie-watching (I've seen all of the likely nominees multiple times), observations (of critics, guilds and other awards-bestowers), and conversations (with pundits and voters).

STORY: Chris Hemsworth to Announce Oscar Nominations 

Historically, I have done quite well when it comes to forecasting Oscar nominations -- for instance, I correctly projected best picture noms for The Reader (2008), The Blind Side (2009) and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (2011) and a best supporting actress nomination for Jacki Weaver for Silver Linings Playbook (2012) when virtually no one else did -- but you have to prove yourself anew each year, and I hope to do just that.

Regardless of how things pan out, I thank you for taking the time to read what I have to say -- and urge you to share your own forecasts in the comments section below.

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DEC
27
7 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Oscar Race Heats Up as Voting Begins

FEINBERG FORECAST: Oscar Race Heats Up as Voting Begins

Every week until the 86th Oscars on March 2, 2014, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst, Scott Feinberg, will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," wherein he presents a summary of developments since the last update that helped to shape this one and then lists his revised projections. For more about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, as well as an acronyms key, scroll to the bottom of this post.

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DEC
18
7 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: The Most Competitive Oscar Race in Years

FEINBERG FORECAST: The Most Competitive Oscar Race in Years

Every week until the 86th Oscars on March 2, 2014, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst, Scott Feinberg, will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," wherein he presents a summary of developments since the last update that helped to shape this one and then lists his revised projections. For more about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, as well as an acronyms key, scroll to the bottom of this post.

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DEC
9
8 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Everyone's Cards Are Now on the Table

FEINBERG FORECAST: Everyone's Cards Are Now on the Table

Every week until the 86th Oscars on March 2, 2014, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst, Scott Feinberg, will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," wherein he presents a summary of developments since the last update that helped to shape this one and then lists his revised projections.

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DEC
4
8 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Will Academy Cry 'Wolf' or Choose Between 'Slave' and 'Gravity'?

FEINBERG FORECAST: Will Academy Cry 'Wolf' or Choose Between 'Slave' and 'Gravity'?

Every week until the 86th Oscars on March 2, 2014, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst, Scott Feinberg, will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," wherein he presents a summary of developments since the last update that helped to shape this one and then lists his revised projections.

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