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SEP
14
4 DAYS

Feinberg Forecast: The Awards Landscape After Telluride and Toronto, Before New York

Feinberg Forecast: The Awards Landscape After Telluride and Toronto, Before New York

Every week through the 87th Oscars on Feb. 22, 2015, The Hollywood Reporter's lead awards analyst Scott Feinberg will post an updated "Feinberg Forecast," wherein he presents a summary of major developments since the last update that helped to shape his current opinions and then lists his revised projections. For more about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, scroll to the bottom of this post.

Factoring into this week's charts...

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AUG
18
1 month

Emmys: Who Will Win, Who Should Win

Emmys: Who Will Win, Who Should Win

A version of this story first appeared in the Aug. 22 issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.  Make your own picks at THR's Emmys Ballot.

Drama Series

What will win: Breaking Bad (AMC)

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AUG
10
1 month

Feinberg Forecast: Emmy Projections in the Minis/Movies Acting Categories

Feinberg Forecast: Emmy Projections in the Minis/Movies Acting Categories

This story first appeared in a special Emmy issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine. 

OUTSTANDING MINISERIES

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AUG
7
1 month

FEINBERG FORECAST: Emmy Projections for the Reality Categories

FEINBERG FORECAST: Emmy Projections for the Reality Categories

This story first appeared in the Aug. 15 issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.  

OUTSTANDING REALITY COMPETITION

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AUG
5
1 month

FEINBERG FORECAST: Emmy Projections for the Supporting Acting Categories (Comedy)

FEINBERG FORECAST: Emmy Projections for the Supporting Acting Categories (Comedy)

This story first appeared in a special Emmy issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY

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JUL
31
2 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Emmy Projections for the Supporting Acting Categories (Drama)

FEINBERG FORECAST: Emmy Projections for the Supporting Acting Categories (Drama)

A version of this story first appeared in the Aug. 8 issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA

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JUL
25
2 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Emmy Projections for the Lead Acting Categories (Comedy)

FEINBERG FORECAST: Emmy Projections for the Lead Acting Categories (Comedy)

This article first appeared in the Aug. 1 issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.

The following are THR awards analyst Scott Feinberg's overviews of -- and early projections for -- the comedy category's lead acting Emmys.

LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY

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JUL
22
2 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Emmy Projections for the Lead Acting Categories (Drama)

FEINBERG FORECAST: Emmy Projections for the Lead Acting Categories (Drama)

This story first appeared in the July 25 issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.

The following are THR awards analyst Scott Feinberg's overviews of -- and early projections for -- the drama category's lead acting Emmys.

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JUN
2
4 MOS

Tonys: Who Should Win, Who Will Win (Analysis)

Tonys: Who Should Win, Who Will Win (Analysis)

A version of this story appears in the June 13 issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.

NEW YORK — With less than a week to go until the 68th Tony Awards are dished out at Radio City Music Hall on June 8 (voting closes on June 6), The Hollywood Reporter's theater critic David Rooney and awards analyst Scott Feinberg offer up their picks for who deserves to win and who is most likely to win, respectively, in all of the major categories. 

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MAY
27
4 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Tonys Race Heats Up With 10 Days Until Voting Closes

FEINBERG FORECAST: Tonys Race Heats Up With 10 Days Until Voting Closes

The following projections and commentary are based on THR awards analyst Scott Feinberg's ongoing viewings of the nominees; his consultations with THR theater critic David Rooney; and careful readings of other Broadway commentators, plus Tony history books, rule books and much more. You can expect new and updated forecasts each Monday [Tuesday this week due to the holiday] through the Tonys!

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MAY
12
4 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: A Look at the Tony Awards Field 27 Days Out

FEINBERG FORECAST: A Look at the Tony Awards Field 27 Days Out

The following projections and commentary are based on THR awards analyst Scott Feinberg's ongoing viewings of the nominees; his consultations with THR theater critic David Rooney; and careful readings of other Broadway commentators, plus Tony history books, rule books and much more. You can expect new and updated forecasts each Monday through the Tonys!

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MAY
5
4 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: First Post-Nominations Look at the Tony Awards Landscape

FEINBERG FORECAST: First Post-Nominations Look at the Tony Awards Landscape

The following projections and commentary are based on THR awards analyst Scott Feinberg's viewings of contenders, which will continue through the coming weeks; his consultations with THR theater critic David Rooney; and careful readings of other Broadway commentators, plus Tony history books, rule books and much more. You can expect new and updated forecasts each Monday through the Tonys!

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APR
28
5 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Projections for the Tony Award Nominations

FEINBERG FORECAST: Projections for the Tony Award Nominations

As a longtime fan and student of Broadway, I am very happy to share that the theater awards season -- like the awards seasons for film and television -- will now be a part of my portfolio at The Hollywood Reporter, and that I will be based in New York during the month leading up to the 68th Tony Awards ceremony on June 8 at Radio City Music Hall.

This year's Tony nominations will be announced Tuesday morning, after which you will notice a surge in Tony-related posts on this blog. I have already seen a number of the likely nominees -- All the Way, If/Then, etc. -- and intend to see the rest as quickly as possible so that I can write about them and the people responsible for them in a variety of ways. As with the other two awards seasons, you can expect analysis, interviews and, yes, forecasts, the first of which appears below.

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FEB
25
7 MOS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Scott's Final Picks for Who Will Win at Sunday's Oscars (Analysis)

FEINBERG FORECAST: Scott's Final Picks for Who Will Win at Sunday's Oscars (Analysis)

An abbreviated version of this story first appeared in the March 7 issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.

This is the closest Oscar race in years -- nobody feels confident about who will win several of the highest-profile categories -- but who better to put your trust in than THR's awards analyst Scott Feinberg?

Scott has been forecasting the Oscars since 2001 and has one of the strongest track records of all awards pundits at doing so. His best showings came in 2006 and 2013, when he correctly called 21 out of 24 winners. He was the only pundit to project best picture nominations for The Reader (2008), The Blind Side (2009) and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (2011) and acting noms for Silver Linings Playbook's Jacki Weaver (2012) and The Wolf of Wall Street's Jonah Hill (2013), among other long shots.

PHOTOS: 2014 Oscar Nominees

He factors into his projections personal impressions (based on advance screenings of hundreds of films each year), publicly available information (release dates, genres, talent rosters and teasers/trailers often offer valuable clues), historical considerations (comparing and contrasting how other films with similar pedigrees have resonated), precursor awards (some awards groups have historically correlated with the Academy more than others) and conversations with industry insiders (including fellow members of the press, awards strategists, filmmakers and awards voters).

Without further ado, here are Scott's picks …

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