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Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Kings, Kids & Swans Are All Right

The Social Network and The King's Speech

Here are my bets on who will win at the Golden Globe Awards hosted by Ricky Gervais on Jan. 16, aired on NBC:

Best Supporting Actor: Guy Pearce in The King's Speech....oops, wait a minute, that's the start of my Ten Most Unfairly Overlooked Performances list!

Here are my actual bets on who the HFPA will choose:

Best Drama Picture: The King's Speech

Best Comedy/Musical Picture: The Kids Are All Right

Best Director: David Fincher, The Social Network

Best Drama Actor: Colin Firth, The King's Speech

Best Drama Actress: Natalie Portman, Black Swan

Best Comedy/Musical Actor: Johnny Depp, Alice in Wonderland

Best Comedy/Musical Actress: Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right

Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale, The Fighter

Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo, The Fighter

Best Screenplay: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network

Best Score: Hans Zimmer, Inception

Best Song: "You Haven't Seen the Last of Me," by Diane Warren, Burlesque

Best Animated Picture: Toy Story 3

Best TV Movie/Miniseries and Actor: Edgar Ramirez in Carlos. Technically this is a TV award, but as director Olivier Assayas told me Tuesday, "In my mind I was doing one very long movie; the problem is in terms of rules, it doesn't fit in classic categories. It's like when Ingmar Bergman did Fanny and Alexander. What's great about the Globes is at least they can put it in a category, at least we can run. With the Oscar rules, there's no space for us. This film doesn't have clear borders -- neither did Carlos [the Latin American terrorist who worked in Europe and the Middle East]."