Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Kings, Kids & Swans Are All Right
Here are my bets on who will win at the Golden Globe Awards hosted by Ricky Gervais on Jan. 16, aired on NBC:
Best Supporting Actor: Guy Pearce in The King's Speech....oops, wait a minute, that's the start of my Ten Most Unfairly Overlooked Performances list!
Here are my actual bets on who the HFPA will choose:
Best Drama Picture: The King's Speech
Best Comedy/Musical Picture: The Kids Are All Right
Best Director: David Fincher, The Social Network
Best Drama Actor: Colin Firth, The King's Speech
Best Drama Actress: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Best Comedy/Musical Actor: Johnny Depp, Alice in Wonderland
Best Comedy/Musical Actress: Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale, The Fighter
Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Best Screenplay: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Best Score: Hans Zimmer, Inception
Best Song: "You Haven't Seen the Last of Me," by Diane Warren, Burlesque
Best Animated Picture: Toy Story 3
Best TV Movie/Miniseries and Actor: Edgar Ramirez in Carlos. Technically this is a TV award, but as director Olivier Assayas told me Tuesday, "In my mind I was doing one very long movie; the problem is in terms of rules, it doesn't fit in classic categories. It's like when Ingmar Bergman did Fanny and Alexander. What's great about the Globes is at least they can put it in a category, at least we can run. With the Oscar rules, there's no space for us. This film doesn't have clear borders -- neither did Carlos [the Latin American terrorist who worked in Europe and the Middle East]."
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Scott Feinberg, the lead awards analyst for The Hollywood Reporter, is one of the entertainment industry's most experienced and trusted experts about the Oscars, Emmys and Tonys. He started on the awards beat in 2001, writing for independent websites including his own ScottFeinberg.com before joining the Los Angeles Times and then THR, for which he writes “The Race” blog, which won the LA Press Club’s National Entertainment Journalism Award for best entertainment blog of 2012-2013. A voting member of both the Broadcast Film Critics' Association and Broadcast Television Journalists Association, he is also writing a book about film history for young people for which he has interviewed more than 500 high-profile Hollywood figures whose careers span the silent era through the present.
Follow Scott on Twitter at twitter.com/scottfeinberg.