How SAG and Golden Globe Nominations Affect Oscar Odds
Awards watcher Scott Feinberg notes that since 2000, only 1.1 performers a year have managed to get Oscar noms despite missing out on SAG and Golden Globe nominations.
Here are this year's big names which were snubbed by SAG and the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (though 1.1 may still get Oscar noms if past is prologue):
#1: Leonardo DiCaprio (Inception, Shutter Island).
#2: Ben Affleck (The Town)
#3: Javier Bardem (Biutiful)
#4: Stephen Dorff (Somewhere)
#5: Michael Douglas (Solitary Man)
#6: Sally Hawkins (Made in Dagenham)
#7: Diane Lane (Secretariat)
#8: Lesley Manville (Another Year)
#9: Gwyneth Paltrow (Country Strong)
#10: Noomi Rapace (The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo)
#11: Tilda Swinton (I Am Love)
#12: Naomi Watts (Fair Game)
#13: Jim Broadbent (Another Year)
#14: Vincent Cassel (Black Swan)
#15: Matt Damon (True Grit)
#16: Armie Hammer (The Social Network)
#17: Ed Harris (The Way Back)
#18: Bill Murray (Get Low)
#19: Sam Rockwell (Conviction)
#20: Justin Timberlake (The Social Network)
#21: Kirsten Dunst (All Good Things)
#22: Elle Fanning (Somewhere)
#23: Rebecca Hall (The Town)
#24: Barbara Hershey (Black Swan)
#25: Juliette Lewis (Conviction)
#26: Rooney Mara (The Social Network)
#27: Miranda Richardson (Made in Dagenham)
#28: Sissy Spacek (Get Low)
#29: Dianne Wiest (Rabbit Hole)
#30: Olivia Williams (The Ghost Writer )
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Scott Feinberg, the lead awards analyst for The Hollywood Reporter, is one of the entertainment industry's most experienced and trusted experts about the Oscars, Emmys and Tonys. He started on the awards beat in 2001, writing for independent websites including his own ScottFeinberg.com before joining the Los Angeles Times and then THR, for which he writes “The Race” blog, which won the LA Press Club’s National Entertainment Journalism Award for best entertainment blog of 2012-2013. A voting member of both the Broadcast Film Critics' Association and Broadcast Television Journalists Association, he is also writing a book about film history for young people for which he has interviewed more than 500 high-profile Hollywood figures whose careers span the silent era through the present.
Follow Scott on Twitter at twitter.com/scottfeinberg.
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