Emmys: 5 Ways the Creative Arts Emmys Could Predict Sunday's Winners

6:00 AM 9/16/2016

by Michael O'Connell

The first round of TV Academy statuettes suggest a big primetime showing for 'Game of Thrones' (again!), John Oliver and more as THR parses two nights of early awards.

'Game of Thrones'
Courtesy of HBO

With longtime winners The Colbert Report and The Daily Show With Jon Stewart out of the running, Last Week Tonight's win in this category (the first for a non-Comedy Central show since 2007) speaks volumes about his likelihood to take the top prize in the variety talk show race.

A first-time nomination led to a win for RuPaul, the pop culture staple who has hosted and produced the campy competition since its 2009 debut. Drag Race isn't nominated for reality competition series, but his win could suggest voters are willing to look past The Amazing Race and The Voice.

As in 2015, the HBO epic heads into the Sept. 18 ceremony with the most wins under its belt. Last year, that translated into a record-breaking 12 Emmy victories and a first-time win in the outstanding drama category. This Creative Arts showing further boosts its formidable edge.

Margo Martindale, a TV Academy favorite, nabbed her second win (and fourth nomination) for her brief role on the spy drama. But unlike in years past, hers is one of many noms for The Americans. The win might bode well for the first-time acting nominees Keri Russell and Matthew Rhys.

Documentary fare has no place in this year's primetime ceremony, but four wins for last winter's breakout crime series (plus a victory for the documentary film What Happened, Miss Simone?) officially minted Netflix as a huge Emmy force in the growing nonfiction genre.

  • Last Week Tonight With John Oliver (HBO)

    Outstanding Writing for Variety Series

    Eric Liebowitz/HBO

    With longtime winners The Colbert Report and The Daily Show With Jon Stewart out of the running, Last Week Tonight’s win in this category (the first for a non-Comedy Central show since 2007) speaks volumes about his likelihood to take the top prize in the variety talk show race.

  • RuPaul's Drag Race (Logo)

    Outstanding Host for Reality Series

    Logo TV

    A first-time nomination led to a win for RuPaul, the pop culture staple who has hosted and produced the campy competition since its 2009 debut. Drag Race isn’t nominated for reality competition series, but his win could suggest voters are willing to look past The Amazing Race and The Voice.

  • Game of Thrones (HBO)

    9 Creative Arts Wins

    Courtesy of HBO

    As in 2015, the HBO epic heads into the Sept 18 ceremony with the most wins under its belt. Last year, that translated into a record-breaking 12 Emmy victories and a first-time win in the outstanding drama category. This Creative Arts showing further boosts its formidable edge.

  • The Americans (FX)

    Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series

    Courtesy of FX

    Margo Martindale, a TV Academy favorite, nabbed her second win (and fourth nomination) for her brief role on the spy drama. But unlike in years past, hers is one of many noms for The Americans. The win might bode well for the first-time acting nominees Keri Russell and Matthew Rhys.

  • Making a Murderer (Netflix)

    4 Creative Arts Wins

    Courtesy of Netflix

    Documentary fare has no place in this year’s primetime ceremony, but four wins for last winter’s breakout crime series (plus a victory for the documentary film What Happened, Miss Simone?) officially minted Netflix as a huge Emmy force in the growing nonfiction genre.

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