Barack and Roll

Election humor is a theme among variety, music or comedy series contenders

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The Obama Effect could spill into the Emmys this year, or at least solidify the dominance of the shows that consistently snag nominations in the variety, music or comedy series category.

For the past five years, Comedy Central's "The Daily Show With Jon Stewart" has taken that prize, and with its stellar election coverage last year, it's hard to imagine it won't at least be nominated again.

The same network's "Colbert Report" also is a likely contender, along with CBS' perennial "The Late Show With David Letterman" (the winner for the five years before "Daily Show's" dominance). HBO's "Real Time With Bill Maher" and NBC's "Saturday Night Live" could round out the berths -- and "SNL" might have a shot at winning based on the smash-hit popularity of Tina Fey's Sarah Palin impression.

Two other NBC entries, "The Tonight Show With Jay Leno" and "Late Night With Conan O'Brien," might win votes as a sendoff to the hosts' new gigs. "The Tonight Show Starring Johnny Carson" won just once, in Carson's swan season (with Leno it has won once, in 1995).

Wildcards include E!'s veteran hit "The Soup" and relative newcomer "Chelsea Lately," as well as ABC's "Jimmy Kimmel Live!"

And Tracey Ullman traditionally wins an Emmy each decade (1989's "The Tracey Ullman Show" and 1997's "Tracey Takes On"). Showtime's "Tracey Ullman's State of the Union" could repeat history.
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