John Oliver: Trump Impeachment is a "Long Shot"

"The likelihood is that Trump will survive this and continue as president, which shouldn’t really be a surprise to anyone."

This Sunday, Last Week Tonight took a deep look at the scandal-ridden week Donald Trump has had, with host John Oliver also making a case for why he doesn't think Trump will get impeached.

Oliver walked his viewers through the past week's news, including reports that Trump asked former FBI director James Comey to drop his investigation into former NSA head Michael Flynn.

But despite increasing calls for Trump to be impeached or resign, Oliver cautioned people against hoping either would happen because it would mean Mike Pence would be president, and Pence has described himself as a Christian, a conservative and a Republican in that order.

He worked his way down the presidential line of succession before stopping himself from going further down "this paranoid wormhole."

"In reality, even though some people have been getting excited this week, impeachment is a long shot for many reasons," said Oliver, "Not the least of which is it would require a majority of the House to vote to impeach, and that is currently controlled by Republicans, and then it would then need two-thirds of the Senate to vote to convict the president, and it is also controlled by Republicans right now.”

Oliver's conclusion is that Trump's presidency is most likely safe.

“So the likelihood is that Trump will survive this and continue as president, which shouldn’t really be a surprise to anyone," continued Oliver. "Why would this be the end of the line for him? Trump has seemed to reach the end of the line on multiple occasions only for nothing to happen."

He detailed past Trump missteps that people thought would mean his campaign was over during election season, including hesitating to disavow David Duke, bullying a Gold Star family and bragging about "grabbing [women] by the pussy" on the infamous Access Hollywood tape. Oliver said that Trump always seems to be approaching the end of the line but it never seems to come, "as if for him, and him alone, the end of the line is drawn by M.C. fing Escher.”

Oliver said that it's dangerous to ignore the significant moves the administration has made in policy recently, encouraging people to stay attentive to news beyond Trump's impeachment possibilities. He said that the only consolation he can offer is that Trump seems unhappy as president.

“I now have something in common with Donald Trump,” said Oliver, “because I, too, preferred my previous life before he became president.”

He ended the segment reminding viewers that the reality of what is happening in the executive branch is "not normal" and reflecting back on the criticism of Obama that occurred at the same point in his first term. Hint: It involves Fox News getting upset at Obama's choice of mustard.

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