Tonys: Who Will Win, Who Should Win
But the directors of those shows face tough competition from Diane Paulus, whose hyperkinetic circus-themed reinterpretation of Pippin seems the production to beat for best musical revival. Given that her productions of Hair and Porgy and Bess both took home that award, pundits generally feel it's Paulus' time to land the trophy for direction of a musical.
With more than one legitimate contender in nearly every race, a broad trophy sweep seems unlikely among plays or musicals.
Insiders are forecasting that beloved Broadway veteran Christopher Durang will win his first Tony for his witty contemporary Chekhov riff Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike. But others are placing bets on the late Nora Ephron's love letter to scrappy New York tabloid journalism, Lucky Guy.
That play has a lead actor front-runner in Tom Hanks, even if his assured Broadway debut is no match for the revelatory spin his closest competitor, Tracy Letts, put on the role of henpecked academic George in the knockout revival of Edward Albee's Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
Given so many wide-open fields, educated guesses about this year's awards are more about guesswork than education. But here are The Hollywood Reporter's picks for what will win -- and should win -- in the top Tony categories.
WILL WIN: Matilda
SHOULD WIN: Matilda
WILL WIN: Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
SHOULD WIN: Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
► MUSICAL REVIVAL
WILL WIN: Pippin
SHOULD WIN: Pippin
► PLAY REVIVAL
WILL WIN: Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
SHOULD WIN: Golden Boy
► LEAD ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
WILL WIN: Bertie Carvel, Matilda
SHOULD WIN: Bertie Carvel, Matilda
► LEAD ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
WILL WIN: Patina Miller, Pippin
SHOULD WIN: Laura Osnes, Cinderella
► LEAD ACTOR IN A PLAY
WILL WIN: Tom Hanks, Lucky Guy
SHOULD WIN: Tracy Letts, Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
► LEAD ACTRESS IN A PLAY
WILL WIN: Cicely Tyson, The Trip to Bountiful
SHOULD WIN: Laurie Metcalf, The Other Place
► DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL
WILL WIN: Diane Paulus, Pippin
SHOULD WIN: Matthew Warchus, Matilda
► DIRECTION OF A PLAY
WILL WIN: George C. Wolfe, Lucky Guy
SHOULD WIN: Pam MacKinnon, Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
Hosted by Neil Patrick Harris, the Tonys will air live from Radio City Music Hall on CBS at 8 p.m. EDT on June 9, with a West Coast delay.