Awards Calendar

  • ADG: Online voting begins
    December 1, 2014
  • ASIFA, Annie Awards: Nominations announced
    December 1, 2014
  • NYFCC: Screening deadline
    December 1, 2014
  • NYFCC: Vote and announce
    December 1, 2014
  • PGA: Nom. ballots available online
    December 1, 2014
  • NBR: Announce winners
    December 2, 2014
  • WGA: Nom. ballots mail (online)
    December 2, 2014
  • AMPAS: Official screen credits forms due & music sub. deadline - (or 60 days a/release) composer responsibility
    December 3, 2014
  • DGA: Nom. ballots available online
    December 3, 2014
  • HFPA: Final screening date
    December 3, 2014

Tonys: Who Will Win, Who Should Win

5:00 AM PST 06/07/2013 by David Rooney

With many top categories too close to call, THR's theater critic makes his picks for this year's top honors.

This story first appeared in the June 14 issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.
 
An awards show with actual suspense? That's the uncommon prospect for the 67th annual Tony Awards on June 9, for which nearly all of the top categories are at least two-horse races. Unlike past years, when such front-runners as Billy Elliot, The Book of Mormon and Once went into the ceremony with victories pretty much preordained, predictions remain up in the air until final votes are received June 7.
 
For every likely winner, such as the wildly imaginative British musical adaptation of Roald Dahl's Matilda, about a 5-year-old genius with a headmistress from hell, there's an equal favorite like the crowd-pleasing Kinky Boots, in which a struggling shoe factory escapes bankruptcy by carving a niche making thigh-highs for drag queens.
 
That could mean a generous spread among key prizes. Matilda likely will snag top honors for best musical, but neophyte Broadway composer Cyndi Lauper appears to have the edge for best original score for Kinky Boots.
 

PHOTOS: Broadway Musicals That Have Sung Their Way to the Big Screen

But the directors of those shows face tough competition from Diane Paulus, whose hyperkinetic circus-themed reinterpretation of Pippin seems the production to beat for best musical revival. Given that her productions of Hair and Porgy and Bess both took home that award, pundits generally feel it's Paulus' time to land the trophy for direction of a musical.

With more than one legitimate contender in nearly every race, a broad trophy sweep seems unlikely among plays or musicals.

Insiders are forecasting that beloved Broadway veteran Christopher Durang will win his first Tony for his witty contemporary Chekhov riff Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike. But others are placing bets on the late Nora Ephron's love letter to scrappy New York tabloid journalism, Lucky Guy.

That play has a lead actor front-runner in Tom Hanks, even if his assured Broadway debut is no match for the revelatory spin his closest competitor, Tracy Letts, put on the role of henpecked academic George in the knockout revival of Edward Albee's Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

Given so many wide-open fields, educated guesses about this year's awards are more about guesswork than education. But here are The Hollywood Reporter's picks for what will win -- and should win -- in the top Tony categories.

STORY: How Tom Hanks Is Taking Home $150,000 a Week for 'Lucky Guy'

► MUSICAL

WILL WIN: Matilda

SHOULD WIN: Matilda

► PLAY

WILL WIN: Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike

SHOULD WIN: Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike

► MUSICAL REVIVAL

WILL WIN: Pippin

SHOULD WIN: Pippin

► PLAY REVIVAL

WILL WIN: Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

SHOULD WIN: Golden Boy

► LEAD ACTOR IN A MUSICAL

WILL WIN: Bertie Carvel, Matilda

SHOULD WIN: Bertie Carvel, Matilda

► LEAD ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL

WILL WIN: Patina Miller, Pippin

SHOULD WIN: Laura Osnes, Cinderella

► LEAD ACTOR IN A PLAY 

WILL WIN:  Tom Hanks, Lucky Guy

SHOULD WIN: Tracy Letts, Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

► LEAD ACTRESS IN A PLAY

WILL WIN: Cicely Tyson, The Trip to Bountiful

SHOULD WIN: Laurie Metcalf, The Other Place

► DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL 

WILL WIN:  Diane Paulus, Pippin

SHOULD WIN: Matthew Warchus, Matilda

► DIRECTION OF A PLAY

WILL WIN: George C. Wolfe, Lucky Guy

SHOULD WIN: Pam MacKinnon, Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

Hosted by Neil Patrick Harris, the Tonys will air live from Radio City Music Hall on CBS at 8 p.m. EDT on June 9, with a West Coast delay.

comments powered by Disqus