Who Will Win and Why

A lot of what fuels chatter about the Emmys is critics complaining about what should have won and griping even more about what did win. This year? Some of the categories have the best and most legitimate competition in years, so it would be difficult to get it too wrong. But that's not going to stop the annual will win/should win column. You know the drill. Let's do this.

COMEDY SERIES

  • Should Win: 30 Rock. Not even its best season, but the sheer genius of verbal, physical and sight-gag humor can't be stopped.
  • Wil Win: Modern Family.

DRAMA SERIES

  • Should Win: Breaking Bad. Absolutely incredible work. And yet, any series but Downton Abbey could be completely justified and worthy.
  • Wil Win: Mad Men. For the record books.

LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES

  • Should Win: Don Cheadle, House of Lies. Brilliant, emotionally varied and impossible to take your eyes off of.
  • Wil Win: Cheadle.

LEAD ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES

  • Should Win: Lena Dunham, Girls. Fearless, funny and also the writer of her own lines and often the director of her own performance.
  • Wil Win: Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation, who also completely deserves it. Yay!

LEAD ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

  • Should Win: Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad. Hard to see how he wouldn't, but the competition is amazing.
  • Wil Win: Cranston.

LEAD ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES

  • Should Win: Claire Danes, Homeland. And, in all seriousness with no disrespect intended, not even close.
  • Wil Win: Danes. (If not, watch out for my head shrapnel.)

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES

  • Should Win: Ty Burrell, Modern Family. He's never, ever been bad.
  • Wil Win: Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES

  • Should Win: Julie Bowen, Modern Family. She's so underappreciated on this show.
  • Wil Win: Bowen. Hey, how about that?

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

  • Should Win: Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad. Wow. That's all you can say for a fourth straight season.
  • Wil Win: Paul. That's putting a lot of faith in the Emmys, but they've done it before, and they can do it again.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES

  • Should Win: Anna Gunn, Breaking Bad. This would be a bit overdue, by the way.
  • Wil Win: Christina Hendricks, Mad Men. And who is going to complain about that?
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