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JUL
18
2 YEARS

Emmys 2012: Final Feinberg Forecast for 64th Primetime Nominations

THR's awards analyst offers his best guesses about which shows and individuals will be named during the nominees announcement Thursday morning.

Game Change HBO Ed Harris Jullianne Moore - H 2012
HBO
Ed Harris and Julianne Moore in HBO's "Game Change"

These are my best guesses about which shows and individuals will be nominated tomorrow morning. Please use the comments section at the bottom of this post to let me know where you think I'll be proven wrong. Keep in mind that this is the outcome that I think will happen, not necessarily that I would like to see happen.

BEST DRAMA SERIES
1. Homeland (Fox) HFPA, BTJA, TCA
2. Mad Men (AMC) BTJA, TCA
3. Breaking Bad (AMC) SAG, BTJA, TCA, IPA
4. The Good Wife (CBS) SAG, BTJA
5. Game of Thrones (HBO) HFPA, SAG, BTJA, TCA
6. Boardwalk Empire (HBO) SAG, HFPA, IPA
Alternate Downton Abbey (PBS) HFPA (miniseries), BTJA, TCA (miniseries), IPA (miniseries)
Potential Surprise Dexter (Showtime) SAG
Shoulda Been a Contender Boss (Starz) HFPA

PHOTOS: Emmys Roundtable: The Faces Behind the Most Talked-About Dramas on TV

BEST COMEDY SERIES
1. Modern Family (ABC) HFPA, SAG, BTJA, TCA, IPA
2. 30 Rock (NBC) SAG
3. Parks and Recreation (NBC) BTJA, TCA
4. The Big Bang Theory (CBS) SAG, TCA
5. Veep (HBO)
6. Louie (FX) TCA, IPA
Alternate New Girl (Fox) HFPA, BTJA
Potential Surprise Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO)
Shoulda Been a Contender Girls (HBO) BTJA

BEST ACTOR (DRAMA)
1. Bryan Cranston (Breaking Bad) BTJA, HFPA, SAG, TCA, IPA
2. Jon Hamm (Mad Men) BTJA, TCA
3. Damian Lewis (Homeland) HFPA, BTJA
4. Kelsey Grammer (Boss) HFPA, BTJA
5. Steve Buscemi (Boardwalk Empire) SAG, HFPA, IPA
6. Hugh Laurie (House)
Alternate Peter Krause (Parenthood)
Potential Surprise Dustin Hoffman (Luck)
Shoulda Been a Contender Timothy Olyphant (Justified) BTJA, IPA

BEST ACTOR (COMEDY)
1. Jim Parsons (The Big Bang Theory) BTJA, TCA
2. Alec Baldwin (30 Rock) SAG, HFPA
3. Larry David (Curb Your Enthusiasm) BTJA
4. Louie C.K. (Louie) BTJA, IPA, TCA
5. Don Cheadle (House of Lies) BTJA
6. Jon Cryer (Two and a Half Men) SAG
Alternate Johnny Galecki (The Big Bang Theory) HFPA
Potential Surprise Joel McHale (Community) BTJA, IPA
Shoulda Been a Contender Will Arnett (Up All Night)

PHOTOS: Emmy Mailers: An Inside Look at How TV Shows Woo Voters

BEST ACTRESS (DRAMA)
1. Claire Danes (Homeland) HFPA, BTJA, TCA, IPA
2. Julianna Margulies (The Good Wife) HFPA, SAG, BTJA, IPA
3. Elisabeth Moss (Mad Men) BTJA
4. Mariska Hargitay (Law & Order: SVU)
5. Mireille Enos (The Killing) HFPA, IPA
6. Glenn Close (Damages) SAG
Alternate Kyra Sedgwick (The Closer) SAG
Potential Surprise Emmy Rossum (Shameless) BTJA
Shoulda Been a Contender Jessica Pare (Mad Men)

BEST ACTRESS (COMEDY)
1. Julia Louis-Dreyfuss (Veep) BTJA, TCA
2. Tina Fey (30 Rock) HFPA, SAG
3. Amy Poehler (Parks and Recreation) BTJA, HFPA, IPA, TCA
4. Zooey Deschanel (The New Girl) BTJA, HFPA, IPA
5. Laura Dern (Enlightened) HFPA
6. Lena Dunham (Girls) BTJA, TCA
Alternate Melissa McCarthy (Mike & Molly) IPA
Potential Surprise Christina Applegate (Up All Night)
Shoulda Been a Contender Martha Plimpton (Raising Hope) IPA, HFPA, BTJA

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA)
1. Peter Dinklage (Game of Thrones) HFPA, IPA, BTJA, TCA
2. John Slattery (Mad Men) BTJA
3. Aaron Paul (Breaking Bad) BTJA
4. Giancarlo Esposito (Breaking Bad) BTJA
5. Mandy Patinkin (Homeland)
6. Josh Charles (The Good Wife)
Alternate Andre Braugher (Men of a Certain Age)
Potential Surprise Michael Pitt (Boardwalk Empire)
Shoulda Been a Contender Danny Huston (Magic City)

PHOTOS: Emmys 2012: Amy Poehler, Rob Lowe and Adam Scott on the Set of 'Parks & Recreation'

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY)
1. Eric Stonestreet (Modern Family) HFPA (nonsupporting), SAG (nonsupporting)
2. Ty Burrell (Modern Family) SAG (nonsupporting), BTJA, IPA
3. Neil Patrick Harris (How I Met Your Mother) IPA
4. Ed O'Neill (Modern Family)
5. Jesse Tyler Ferguson (Modern Family)
6. Max Greenfield (New Girl) BTJA
Alternate Nick Offerman (Parks and Recreation) BTJA
Potential Surprise Tony Hale (Veep)
Shoulda Been a Contender Danny Pudi (Community) BTJA

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA)
1. Maggie Smith (Downton Abbey) HFPA, IPA
2. Christina Hendricks (Mad Men) BTJA
3. Kelly Macdonald (Boardwalk Empire) HFPA, BTJA, IPA
4. Christine Baranski (The Good Wife) BTJA
5. Rose Byrne (Damages)
6. Morena Baccarin (Homeland)
Alternate Archie Panjabi (The Good Wife)
Potential Surprise Anna Gunn (Breaking Bad) BTJA
Shoulda Been a Contender Maggie Siff (Sons of Anarchy) BTJA

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY)
1. Julie Bowen (Modern Family) BTJA, SAG (nonsupporting)
2. Sofia Vergara (Modern Family) HFPA, SAG (nonsupporting), IPA
3. Kristen Wiig (Saturday Night Live)
4. Jane Krakowski (30 Rock)
5. Cloris Leachman (Raising Hope)
6. Betty White (Hot in Cleveland) SAG (nonsupporting)
Alternate Jane Lynch (Glee)
Potential Surprise Cheryl Hines (Suburgatory) BTJA
Shoulda Been a Contender Jemima Kirke (Girls)

PHOTOS: Emmys 2012: TV's Supporting Players Storm THR's Photo Shoot

BEST GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA)
1. Dylan Baker (Damages) BTJA
2. Michael J. Fox (The Good Wife)
3. Andre Braugher (Law & Order: SVU)
4. Matthew Perry (The Good Wife)
5. Jere Burns (Justified) BTJA
6. Edward James Olmos (Dexter)
Alternate John Goodman (Damages)
Potential Surprise Beau Bridges (White Collar)
Shoulda Been a Contender Mykelti Williamson (Justified)

BEST GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA)
1. Louise Fletcher (Shameless)
2. Loretta Devine (Grey's Anatomy) BTJA
3. Jean Smart (Harry's Law)
4. Alfre Woodard (Grey's Anatomy)
5. Lucy Liu (Southland) BTJA
6. Chloe Sevigny (Law & Order: SVU)
Alternate Joan Cusack (Shameless)
Potential Surprise Bernadette Peters (Smash)
Shoulda Been a Contender Carrie Preston (The Good Wife) BTJA

BEST GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY)
1. Michael J. Fox (Curb Your Enthusiasm)
2. Alan Alda (The Big C)
3. Paul Rudd (Parks and Recreation) BTJA
4. Don Rickles (Hot in Cleveland)
5. Will Arnett (30 Rock)
6. Bobby Cannavale (Modern Family) BTJA
Alternate Jimmy Fallon (Saturday Night Live)
Potential Surprise Justin Long (New Girl) BTJA
Shoulda Been a Contender Johnny Depp (Life's Too Short)

PHOTOS: Emmys 2012: Behind the Scenes With TV's Biggest Reality Players

BEST GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY)
1. Melissa McCarthy (Saturday Night Live)
2. Ellen Barkin (Modern Family)
3. Blythe Danner (Up All Night)
4. Patricia Clarkson (Parks and Recreation)
5. Elaine Stritch (30 Rock)
6. Kathryn Hahn (Parks & Recreation) BTJA
Alternate Doris Roberts (Hot in Cleveland)
Potential Surprise Robin Wright (Enlightened)
Shoulda Been a Contender Mary Steenburgen (30 Rock)

BEST MADE FOR TELEVISION MOVIE OR MINISERIES
1. Sherlock (PBS) BTJA
2. Game Change (HBO) BTJA
3. American Horror Story (FX) BTJA
4. Page Eight (PBS) BTJA, IPA
5. The Hour (BBC America) HFPA,   BTJA  
6. Hatfields & McCoys (History)
Alternate Appropriate Adult (Sundance)
Potential Surprise Luther (BBC America) BTJA
Shoulda Been a Contender Great Expectations (PBS)

BEST ACTOR (MADE FOR TELEVISION MOVIE OR MINISERIES)
1. Idris Elba (Luther) HFPA, BTJA, IPA
2. Benedict Cumberbatch (Sherlock) BTJA
3. Woody Harrelson (Game Change) BTJA
4. Bill Nighy (Page Eight) HFPA, BTJA, IPA
5. Kevin Costner (Hatfields & McCoys) BTJA
Alternate Clive Owen (Hemingway & Gellhorn)
Potential Surprise Dominic West (The Hour) HFPA, BTJA
Shoulda Been a Contender Bill Paxton (Hatfields & McCoys)

PHOTOS: Emmys 2012: THR's Reality Roundtable Guests Reveal All

BEST ACTRESS (MADE FOR TELEVISION MOVIE OR MINISERIES)
1. Julianne Moore (Game Change) BTJA
2. Emily Watson (Appropriate Adult) HFPA, SAG, BTJA
3. Nicole Kidman (Hemingway & Gellhorn)
4. Rachel Weisz (Page Eight) IPA
5. Patricia Clarkson (Five) BTJA
Alternate Romola Garai (The Hour) HFPA
Potential Surprise Connie Britton (American Horror Story)
Shoulda Been a Contender Emma Thompson (The Song of Lunch)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR (MADE FOR TELEVISION MOVIE OR MINISERIES)
1. Ed Harris (Game Change)
2. David Strathairn (Hemingway & Gellhorn)
3. Michael Gambon (Page Eight)
4. Denis O'Hare (American Horror Story)
5. Martin Freeman (Sherlock)
Alternate Powers Boothe (Hatfields & McCoys)
Potential Surprise Ray Winstone (Great Expectations)
Shoulda Been a Contender Ralph Fiennes (Page Eight)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS (MADE FOR TELEVISION MOVIE OR MINISERIES)
1. Jessica Lange (American Horror Story) SAG (drama), HFPA (supporting), BTJA, TCA
2. Judy Davis (Page Eight)
3. Gillian Anderson (Great Expectations) BTJA
4. Laura Pulver (Sherlock) BTJA
5. Sarah Paulson (Game Change)
Alternate Ruth Wilson (Luther)
Potential Surprise Frances Conroy (American Horror Story)
Shoulda Been a Contender Mare Winningham (Hatfields & McCoys)

* * *

KEY

Purple Italics = still-pending nomination; Purple = nomination; Orange = win

IPA = 16th Satellite Awards, which were presented by the International Press Academy on Dec. 181.

HFPA = 69th Golden Globe Awards, which were presented by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association on Jan. 15.

SAG = 18th Screen Actors Guild Awards, which were presented by the Screen Actors Guild on Jan. 29.

BTJA = Second TV Critics' Choice Awards, which will be presented by the Broadcast Television Journalists Association on June 18.

TCA = 28th Television Critics Association Awards, which will be presented by the Television Critics Association on July 28.