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Feinberg Forecast: Clint Eastwood, Brad Pitt, Viola Davis Among Projected Frontrunners

Updated charts factor in new screenings and information from the film festival circuit.

The Descendants Telluride Film Still - H 2011

BEST PICTURE
Frontrunners
J. Edgar (Warner Brothers, 11/11, TBA, TBA)
War Horse (Disney, 12/28, TBA, teaser)
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (Warner Brothers, 12/25, TBA, TBA)
Midnight in Paris (Sony Pictures Classics, 5/20, PG-13, trailer)
The Artist (The Weinstein Company, 11/23, TBA, trailer)
Moneyball (Columbia, 9/23, TBA, trailer)
The Descendants (Fox Searchlight, 11/23, R, trailer)
The Help (Disney, 8/12, PG-13, trailer)
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy (Focus Features, 12/9, TBA, trailer)
The Ides of March (Sony, 10/14, TBA, trailer)
Major Threats
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (Sony, 12/21, TBA, trailer)
We Bought a Zoo (20th Century Fox, 12/23, TBA, trailer)
Like Crazy (Paramount Vantage, 10/28, PG-13, trailer)
Carnage (Sony Pictures Classics, 11/18, TBA, trailer)
The Iron Lady (Sony, 12/21, TBA, teaser)
50/50 (Summit, 9/30, R, trailer)
The Tree of Life (Fox Searchlight, 5/27, PG-13, trailer)
A Dangerous Method (Sony Pictures Classics, 11/23, TBA, trailer)
Take Shelter (Sony Pictures Classics, 10/7, TBA, TBA)
My Week With Marilyn (The Weinstein Company, 11/4, TBA, TBA)
Martha Marcy May Marlene (Fox Searchlight, 10/7, TBA, trailer)
Young Adult (Paramount, 12/9, TBA, TBA)
The Way (Producers Distribution Agency, 10/7, TBA, trailer)
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows -- Part 2 (Warner Brothers, 7/15, PG-13, trailer)
Possibilities
The Adventures of Tintin (Paramount, 12/23, TBA, trailer)
Hugo (Paramount, 11/23, TBA, trailer)
Machine Gun Preacher (Relativity Media, 9/23, R, trailer)
Melancholia (Magnolia, 11/4, TBA, trailer)
Pariah (Focus Features, 12/25, TBA, trailer)
Coriolanus (The Weinstein Company, 12/2, TBA, trailer)
The Rum Diary (FilmDistrict, 10/28, TBA, trailer)
Albert Nobbs (Liddell Entertainment/Roadside Attractions, TBA, TBA, TBA)
Win Win (Fox Searchlight, 3/18, R, trailer)
Beginners (Focus Features, 6/3, R, trailer)
In the Land of Blood and Honey (FilmDistrict, 12/23, TBA, TBA)
Warrior (Lionsgate, 9/9, PG-13, trailer)
Super 8 (Paramount, 6/10, PG-13, trailer)
Contagion (Warner Brothers, 9/9, ?, trailer)
We Need to Talk About Kevin (Oscilloscope, TBA, TBA, TBA)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
Take This Waltz

BEST DIRECTOR
Frontrunners
Clint Eastwood (J. Edgar)
Steven Spielberg (War Horse)
Stephen Daldry (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)
Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)

Major Threats
Bennett Miller (Moneyball)
Alexander Payne (The Descendants)
Tate Taylor (The Help)
Tomas Alfredson (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
George Clooney (The Ides of March)
David Fincher (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
Cameron Crowe (We Bought a Zoo)
Drake Doremus (Like Crazy)
Roman Polanski (Carnage)
Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life)
Phyllida Lloyd (The Iron Lady)
Jonathan Levine (50/50)
David Cronenberg (A Dangerous Method)
Jeff Nichols (Take Shelter)
Steven Spielberg (The Adventures of Tintin)
Martin Scorsese (Hugo)
Pedro Almodovar (The Skin I Live In)
Possibilities
Simon Curtis (My Week With Marilyn)
Sean Durkin (Martha Marcy May Marlene)
Jason Reitman (Young Adult)
Emilio Estevez (The Way)
Marc Forster (Machine Gun Preacher)
Lars von Trier (Melancholia)
Dee Rees (Pariah)
Ralph Fiennes (Coriolanus)
Bruce Robinson (The Rum Diary)
Rodrigo Garcia (Albert Nobbs)
Tom McCarthy (Win Win)
Mike Mills (Beginners)
Angelina Jolie (In the Land of Blood and Honey)
Gavin O'Connor (Warrior)
J.J. Abrams (Super 8)
Steven Soderbergh (Contagion)
Lynne Ramsay (We Need to Talk About Kevin)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
Sarah Polley (Take This Waltz)

BEST ACTOR
Frontrunners
Brad Pitt (Moneyball)
Leonardo DiCaprio (J. Edgar)
George Clooney (The Descendants)
Jean Dujardin (The Artist)
Michael Shannon (Take Shelter)
Major Threats
Gary Oldman (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
Ryan Gosling (The Ides of March)
Matt Damon (We Bought a Zoo)
Joseph Gordon-Levitt (50/50)
Michael Fassbender (Shame)
Anton Yelchin (Like Crazy)
Michael Fassbender (A Dangerous Method)
Christoph Waltz (Carnage)
John C. Reilly (Carnage)
Jeremy Irvine (War Horse)
Johnny Depp (The Rum Diary)
Martin Sheen (The Way)
Sam Shepard (Blackthorn)
Ryan Gosling (Drive)
Possibilities
Thomas Horn (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
Gerard Butler (Machine Gun Preacher)
Daniel Craig (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
Paul Giamatti (Win Win)
Antonio Banderas (The Skin I Live In)
Ralph Fiennes (Coriolanus)
Brad Pitt (The Tree of Life)
David Thewlis (The Lady)
Demian Bichir (A Better Life)
Tom Hardy (Warrior)
Joel Edgerton (Warrior)
Dominic Cooper (The Devil's Double)
Rhys Ifans (Anonymous)
Asa Butterfield (Hugo)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
Woody Harrelson (Rampart)
Sean Penn (This Must Be the Place)
Christopher Plummer (Barrymore)
Adam Scott (Friends with Kids)

BEST ACTRESS
Frontrunners
Viola Davis (The Help)
Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)
Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)
Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)
Felicity Jones (Like Crazy)

Major Threats
Elizabeth Olsen (Martha Marcy May Marlene)
Jodie Foster (Carnage)
Kate Winslet (Carnage)
Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
Keira Knightley (A Dangerous Method)
Charlize Theron (Young Adult)
Kirsten Dunst (Melancholia)
Possibilities
Adepero Oduye (Pariah)
Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin)
Rachel Weisz (The Whistleblower)
Mia Wasikowska (Jane Eyre)
Michelle Yeoh (The Lady)
Kristin Scott Thomas (Sarah's Key)
Emma Stone (The Help)
Ellen Barkin (Another Happy Day)
Jennifer Garner (Butter)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
Jane Fonda (Peace, Love, & Misunderstanding)
Jennifer Hudson (Winnie)
Frances McDormand (This Must Be the Place)
Jennifer Westfeldt (Friends with Kids)
Michelle Williams (Take This Waltz)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Frontrunners
Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
Jim Broadbent (The Iron Lady)
John Hawkes (Martha Marcy May Marlene)
George Clooney (The Ides of March)
Major Threats
Albert Brooks (Drive)
Nick Nolte (Warrior)
Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Ides of March)
Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
Tom Hanks (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
Viggo Mortensen (A Dangerous Method)
Armie Hammer (J. Edgar)
Thomas Haden Church (We Bought a Zoo)
Possibilities
Patton Oswalt (Young Adult)
Andy Serkis (Rise of the Planet of the Apes)
Jeffrey Wright (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
Paul Giamatti (The Ides of March)
Richard Jenkins (The Rum Diary)
Aaron Eckhart (The Rum Diary)
Ezra Miller (We Need to Talk About Kevin)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
Terrence Howard (Winnie)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Frontrunners
Berenice Bejo (The Artist)
Vanessa Redgrave (Coriolanus)
Octavia Spencer (The Help)
Judi Dench (My Week with Marilyn)
Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)
Major Threats
Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)
Sandra Bullock (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
Jessica Chastain (Take Shelter)
Naomi Watts (J. Edgar)
Emily Watson (War Horse)
Anna Kendrick (50/50)
Scarlett Johansson (We Bought a Zoo)
Andrea Riseborough (W.E)
Judi Dench (J. Edgar)
Michelle Monaghan (Machine Gun Preacher)
Marisa Tomei (The Ides of March)
Possibilities
Evan Rachel Wood (The Ides of March)
Carey Mulligan (Shame)
Vanessa Redgrave (Anonymous)
Alexandra Roach (The Iron Lady)
Charlotte Rampling (Melancholia)
Elle Fanning (We Bought a Zoo)
Stephanie Szotak (We Bought a Zoo)
Chloe Moretz (Hugo)
Demi Moore (Another Happy Day)
Kim Wayans (Pariah)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
Judy Davis (The Eye of the Storm)
Charlotte Rampling (The Eye of the Storm)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Frontrunners
Richard Curtis, Lee Hall (War Horse)
Eric Roth (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
Aaron Sorkin, Steven Zaillian (Moneyball)
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, Jim Rash (The Descendants)

Tate Taylor (The Help)
Major Threats
Bridget O'Connor, Peter Straughan (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
George Clooney, Grant Heslov (The Ides of March)
Steven Zaillian (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
Cameron Crowe, Aline Brosh McKenna (We Bought a Zoo)
Roman Polanski (Carnage)
Christopher Hampton (A Dangerous Method)
Pedro Almodovar (The Skin I Live In)
Possibilities
John Logan (Hugo)
Emilio Estevez (The Way)
Lars von Trier (Melancholia)
John Logan (Coriolanus)
Bruce Robinson (The Rum Diary)
John Banville, Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)
Cliff Dorfman, Gavin O'Connor, Anthony Tambakis (Warrior)
Rory Kinnear, Lynne Ramsay (We Need to Talk About Kevin)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
James Ellroy, Oren Moverman (Rampart)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Frontrunners
Dustin Lance Black (J. Edgar)
Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)
Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)
Drake Doremus, Ben York Jones (Like Crazy)
Abi Morgan (The Iron Lady)
Major Threats
Will Reiser (50/50)
Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life)
Jeff Nichols (Take Shelter)
Adrian Hodges (My Week with Marilyn)
Sean Durkin (Martha Marcy Mae Marlene)
Diablo Cody (Young Adult)
Jason Keller (Machine Gun Preacher)
Possibilities
Dee Rees (Pariah)
Tom McCarthy, Joe Tiboni (Win Win)
Mike Mills (Beginners)
Angelina Jolie (In the Land of Blood and Honey)
J.J. Abrams (Super 8)
Scott Z. Burns (Contagion)
James Westby (Rid of Me)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
Sarah Polley (Take This Waltz)

BEST ANIMATED FILM (FEATURE)
Frontrunners
The Adventures of Tintin (Paramount, 12/23, TBA, trailer)
Rango (Paramount, 3/4, PG, trailer)
Happy Feet 2 (Warner Brothers, 11/18, TBA, TBA, trailer)
Cars 2 (Disney, 6/24, TBA, trailer)
Puss in Boots (DreamWorks, 11/4, TBA, trailer)

Major Threats
Arthur Christmas (Sony, 11/23, TBA, trailer)
Rio (20th Century Fox, 4/15, G, trailer)
Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chip-Wrecked (20th Century Fox, 12/11, TBA, TBA)
Winnie the Pooh (Disney, 7/15, G, trailer)
Possibilities
Kung Fu Panda 2 (DreamWorks, 5/26, PG, trailer)
The Smurfs (Sony, 7/29, TBA, trailer)
The Lion of Judah (Animated Family Films, 6/3, TBA, trailer)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
The Dreaming Machine
The Rabbi's Cat
Tales of the Night

BEST DOCUMENTARY FILM (FEATURE)
Frontrunners
Project Nim (Roadside Attractions, 7/8, PG-13, trailer)
Buck (IFC Films, 6/17, PG, trailer)
Senna (Producers Distribution Agency, 8/12, PG-13, trailer)
If a Tree Falls (Oscilloscope, 6/22, TBA, trailer)
Magic Trip (Magnolia, 8/5, TBA, trailer)
Major Threats
The Interrupters (The Cinema Guild, TBA, TBA, TBA)
Koran by Heart (HBO Documentary Films, TBA, TBA, TBA)
Page One: Inside the New York Times (Magnolia, 6/24, TBA, trailer)
Hell and Back Again (New Video, TBA, TBA, TBA)
Being Elmo: A Puppeteer's Journey (Submarine Entertainment, TBA, TBA)
Tabloid (Sundance Selects, 7/15, R, trailer)
How to Die in Oregon (HBO Documentary Films, TBA, TBA, TBA)
Possibilities
Bobby Fischer Against the World (HBO Documentary Films, TBA, TBA, TBA)
The Greatest Movie Ever Sold (Sony Pictures Classics, 4/22, PG-13, trailer)
The Black Power Mixtape 1967-1975 (Sundance Selects, TBA, TBA, TBA)
Pearl Jam Twenty (Abramorama, TBA, TBA, TBA)
Life in a Day (National Geographic, 7/24, TBA, TBA)
The Bully Project (The Weinstein Company, TBA, TBA, TBA)
Revenge of the Electric Car (Westmidwest Productions, TBA, TBA, trailer)
African Cats (Disney, 4/22, G, trailer)
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
Bombay Beach
Footnote
Into the Abyss
The Whale