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DEC
30
2 YEARS

FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (with 8 Weeks Until the 85th Oscars)

THR's awards analyst Scott Feinberg provides his final projections of the 2012 calendar year, with just 11 days remaining until Oscar nominations are revealed.

Django Quentin Tarantino Grabbing Gun - P 2012
The Weinstein Company

Every week through the Oscars on Feb. 24, The Hollywood Reporter's awards analyst Scott Feinberg will release a new "Feinberg Forecast," a post in which he recaps the most noteworthy awards-related news of the past week and shares his latest assessment of the standings in each of the major awards categories. (For more information about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, as well as a key for the various colors and acronyms that appear throughout them, scroll to the bottom of this post.)

PHOTOS: Quentin Tarantino's 'Django Unchained' NYC Premiere

NOTEWORTHY DEVELOPMENTS SINCE LAST WEEK'S FORECAST:

  • Warner Bros.' The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, which came out three weeks ago, topped the box office with a take of $32.9 million during the last weekend of 2012. The year's two big Christmas Day releases, The Weinstein Co.'s Django Unchained and Universal's Les Miserables, were hot on its heels, grossing $30.7 million and $28 million, respectively. (Les Mis had topped Django on Dec. 25, scoring the biggest opening for a musical in history with an $18.2 million day, but the R-rated dramedy has since pulled ahead of it.) Sony's Skyfall, meanwhile, passed the $1 billion mark in global ticket sales, making it not only the highest-grossing James Bond film ever but also the highest-grossing Sony release, not adjusting for inflation.
  • Best picture Oscar hopeful The Sessions, from Fox Searchlight, received a nice shout-out in The New York Times columnist Frank Bruni's Dec. 24 op-ed. He submits that the film, about a man in an iron lung who wants to lose his virginity, hammers home the point that "our bodies are not ourselves."
  • Best director and best original screenplay Oscar hopeful Quentin Tarantino (Django Unchained) will be honored with the Rome Film Festival's Lifetime Achievement Award on Jan. 4. Ennio Morricone, the legendary Italian composer who scored many of the spaghetti Westerns that inspired Django, will make the presentation. Tarantino's film, however, continues to cause debate stateside over its depiction of gun violence and 110 uses of the N-word. Two black directors took different sides in the debate: Spike Lee, a longtime critic of Tarantino, tweeted that the concept of the film is "disrespectful" and that he will not see it; Antoine Fuqua said he also has yet to see the film but is confident that Tarantino doesn't have "a racist bone in his body" and that his friend Jamie Foxx would never have agreed to star in a movie that was racist.
  • Best director and best actor Oscar hopeful Ben Affleck (Argo), the founder of the Eastern Congo Initiative (about which he recently testified before the U.S. Congress) was announced as this year's recipient of The Cinema for Peace Foundation's Humanitarian Award. The award honors an individual and his or her organization "who has demonstrated the foresight, courage and leadership required to take a stand against extreme injustice, intolerance and inequalities."
  • Best supporting actor Oscar hopeful Ewan McGregor (The Impossible) is   one of the boldfaced names on Queen Elizabeth II's New Year Honors list this year. The 41-year-old will be named an Officer of the Order of the British Empire (OBE).
  • Best original screenplay Oscar hopeful Judd Apatow (This Is 40) was announced as the recipient of the Critics' Choice Movie Awards' inaugural Louis XIII Genius Award. The award was created to honor “an unprecedented demonstration of excellence in the cinematic arts.”
  • THR's Borys Kit unveiled his list of the top 10 "geek movies" of 2012, and the film that captured the top spot is not Cloud AtlasPrometheus or The Avengers but rather Warner Bros' best picture Oscar hopeful Argo! Kit argues that it deserves to be considered a geek movie because "there’s the backdrop of the making of a sci-fi epic, Planet of the Apes' Oscar-winning makeup artist John Chambers (played by John Goodman) is a major supporting character, and it's filled with Star Wars references and even ends with a shot of the classic action figures."

PHOTOS: Todd McCarthy's 10 Best Movies of 2012 

THIS WEEK'S FORECAST:

BEST PICTURE

Front-runners
Lincoln (DreamWorks, 11/9, PG-13, trailer) AFI, IPA, SAG, HFPA, BFCA
Argo (Warner Bros., 10/12, R, trailer) AFI, IPA, SAG, HFPA, BFCA
Les Miserables (Universal, 12/25, PG-13, trailer) AFI, IPA, SAG, HFPA, BFCA
Silver Linings Playbook (The Weinstein Co., 11/21, R, trailer) AFI, IPA, SAG, HFPA, BFCA, FI
Zero Dark Thirty (Sony, 12/19, R, trailer) NBR, NYFCC, BSFC, NYFCO, DCAC, AFI, IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Life of Pi (20th Century Fox, 11/21, PG, trailer) AFI, IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Django Unchained (The Weinstein Co., 12/25, R, trailer) AFI, HFPA, BFCA
Amour (Sony Pictures Classics, 12/19, PG-13, trailer) LAFCA
The Master (The Weinstein Co., 9/14, R, trailer) BFCA
Beasts of the Southern Wild (Fox Searchlight, 6/27, PG-13, trailer) AFI, IPA, BFCA, FI
Major Threats
The Impossible (Summit, 12/21, PG-13, trailer)
Moonrise Kingdom (Focus Features, 5/25, PG-13, trailer) AFI, IPA, HFPA, BFCA, FI
The Intouchables (The Weinstein Co., 5/25, R, trailer)
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (Fox Searchlight, 5/4, PG-13, trailer) SAG, HFPA
Possibilities
Skyfall (Sony, 11/9, PG-13, trailer) IPA
Flight (Paramount, 11/2, R, trailer)
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Warner Bros., 12/14, PG-13, trailer)
The Dark Knight Rises (Warner Bros., 7/20, PG-13, trailer) AFI

BEST DIRECTOR
Front-runners
Steven Spielberg (Lincoln) IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Ben Affleck (Argo) IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Kathryn Bigelow (Zero Dark Thirty) NBR, NYFCC, BSFC, NYFCO, DCAC, IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Ang Lee (Life of Pi) HFPA, BFCA
David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook) IPA, BFCA, FI
Major Threats
Michael Haneke (Amour)
Quentin Tarantino (Django Unchained) HFPA
Tom Hooper (Les Misérables) BFCA
Paul Thomas Anderson (The Master) LAFCA
Robert Zemeckis (Flight)
Sam Mendes (Skyfall)
Possibilities
Christopher Nolan (The Dark Knight Rises)
Benh Zeitlin (Beasts of the Southern Wild) FI
Wes Anderson (Moonrise Kingdom) FI
Peter Jackson (The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey)
Tom Tykwer, Andy Wachowski, Lana Wachowski (Cloud Atlas)
Dustin Hoffman (Quartet)

BEST ACTOR
Front-runners
Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln) NYFCC, BSFC, NYFCO, DCAC, IPA, HFPA, SAG, BFCA
Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook) NBR, IPA, HFPA, SAG, BFCA, FI
Hugh Jackman (Les Miserables) IPA, HFPA, SAG, BFCA
John Hawkes (The Sessions) HFPA, SAG, BFCA, FI
Denzel Washington (Flight) IPA, HFPA, SAG, BFCA
Major Threats
Jean-Louis Trintignant (Amour)
Joaquin Phoenix (The Master) LAFCA, IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Richard Gere (Arbitrage) HFPA
Jamie Foxx (Django Unchained)
Jack Black (Bernie) HFPA, FI
Possibilities
Anthony Hopkins (Hitchcock)
Ben Affleck (Argo)
Omar Sy (The Intouchables) IPA
Tom Holland (The Impossible)
Bill Murray (Hyde Park on Hudson) HFPA

BEST ACTRESS
Front-runners
Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook) LAFCA, IPA, HFPA, SAG, BFCA, FI
Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty) NBR, DCAC, IPA, HFPA, SAG, BFCA
Marion Cotillard (Rust and Bone) HFPA, SAG, BFCA
Naomi Watts (The Impossible) HFPA, SAG, BFCA
Emmanuelle Riva (Amour) LAFCA, BSFC, NYFCO, IPA, BFCA
Major Threats
Helen Mirren (Hitchcock) HFPA, SAG
Quvenzhane Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild) BFCA
Maggie Smith (Quartet) HFPA
Rachel Weisz (The Deep Blue Sea) NYFCC, HFPA
Judi Dench (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel) HFPA
Possibilities
Keira Knightley (Anna Karenina) IPA
Meryl Streep (Hope Springs) HFPA
Emayatzy Corinealdi (Middle of Nowhere) FI
Mary Elizabeth Winstead (Smashed) FI
Frances McDormand (Promised Land)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Front-runners
Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln) NYFCO, IPA, HFPA, SAG, BFCA
Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook) IPA, SAG, BFCA
Alan Arkin (Argo) HFPA, SAG, BFCA
Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master) DCAC, IPA, HFPA, SAG, BFCA
Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained) HFPA
Major Threats
Javier Bardem (Skyfall) IPA, SAG, BFCA
Eddie Redmayne (Les Miserables) IPA
Leonardo DiCaprio (Django Unchained) NBR, HFPA
John Goodman (Flight) IPA
John Goodman (Argo)
Possibilities
Matthew McConaughey (Magic Mike) NYFCC, BFCA, FI
Samuel L. Jackson (Django Unchained)
Dwight Henry (Beasts of the Southern Wild) LAFCA
Bryan Cranston (Argo)
Ewan McGregor (The Impossible)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Front-runners
Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables) NYFCO, IPA, DCAC, HFPA, SAG, BFCA
Sally Field (Lincoln) NYFCC, BSFC, HFPA, SAG, BFCA
Helen Hunt (The Sessions) IPA, HFPA, SAG, BFCA, FI
Amy Adams (The Master) LAFCA, IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook)
Major Threats
Maggie Smith (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel) SAG
Nicole Kidman (The Paperboy) HFPA, SAG
Ann Dowd (Compliance) NBR, BFCA, FI
Kelly Reilly (Flight)
Possibilities
Amanda Seyfried (Les Misérables)
Samantha Barks (Les Misérables) IPA
Judi Dench (Skyfall) IPA, BFCA
Kerry Washington (Django Unchained)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Front-runners
Lincoln (Tony Kushner) NYFCC, BSFC, IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Argo (Chris Terrio) LAFCA, IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Silver Linings Playbook (David O. Russell) NBR, DCAC, IPA, HFPA, BFCA, FI
Beasts of the Southern Wild (Lucy Alibar, Benh Zeitlin)
Life of Pi (David Magee) IPA, BFCA
Major Threats
Les Miserables (William Nicholson)
The Sessions (Ben Lewin) IPA
The Intouchables (Olivier Nakache, Eric Toledano)
Quartet (Ronald Harwood)
Bernie (Richard Linklater)
Possibilities
Perks of Being a Wallflower (Stephen Chbosky) BFCA
The Dark Knight Rises (Christopher Nolan, Jonathan Nolan)
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Philippa Boyens, Guillermo Del Toro, Peter Jackson, Fran Walsh)
Cloud Atlas (Tom Tykwer, Andy Wachowski, Lana Wachowski)
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (Ol Parker)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Front-runners
Zero Dark Thirty (Mark Boal) NYFCO, IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Django Unchained (Quentin Tarantino) HFPA, BFCA
The Master (Paul Thomas Anderson) IPA, BFCA
Amour (Michael Haneke) BFCA
Looper (Rian Johnson) NBR, DCAC, BFCA
Major Threats
Moonrise Kingdom (Wes Anderson) IPA, BFCA, FI
The Intouchables (Eric Toledano, Olivier Nakache) IPA
Flight (John Gatins) IPA, BFCA
Arbitrage (Nicholas Jarecki)
Middle of Nowhere (Ava DuVernay)
Possibilities
Seven Psychopaths (Martin McDonagh) FI
End of Watch (David Ayer)
Promised Land (Matt Damon, John Krasinski)
The Impossible (Sergio G. Sanchez)
Brave (Mark Andrews, Brenda Chapman)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Front-runners
Brave (Pixar, 6/22, PG, trailer) IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Wreck-It Ralph (Disney, 11/2, PG, trailer) NBR, IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Frankenweenie (Disney, 10/5, PG, trailer) NYFCC, LAFCA, BSFC, IPA, HFPA, BFCA
ParaNorman (Focus Features, 8/17, PG, trailer) DCAC, BFCA
Rise of the Guardians (DreamWorks Animation, 11/21, PG, trailer) IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Major Threats
The Painting (GKIDS, TBA, TBA, trailer)
Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted (DreamWorks Animation, 6/8, PG, trailer) IPA, BFCA
Zarafa (GKIDS, TBA, TBA, trailer)
Hotel Transylvania (Sony Animation, 9/28, PG, trailer) HFPA
Possibilities
From Up on Poppy Hill (GKIDS, TBA, TBA, trailer)
The Pirates! Band of Misfits (Sony Animation, 4/27, PG, trailer)
The Rabbi's Cat (GKIDS, TBA, TBA, trailer)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Front-runners
Searching for Sugar Man (Sony Pictures Classics, 7/27, PG-13, trailer) NBR, IPA, BFCA, CEH
The Gatekeepers (Sony Pictures Classics, 12/13, PG-13, clip) LAFCA IPA
How to Survive a Plague (Sundance Selects, 9/21, TBA, trailer) BSFC, FI
Bully (The Weinstein Co., 3/30, PG-13, trailer) DCAC, BFCA
Detropia (Loki Films, 9/7, TBA, trailer) CEH
Major Threats
Mea Maxima Culpa: Silence in the House of God (HBO Documentaries, TBA, TBA, trailer)
Ai Weiwei: Never Sorry (Sundance Selects, 7/27, R, trailer) IPA
Chasing Ice (Submarine Entertainment, 11/9, PG-13, trailer) IPA
The Imposter (Indomina, 7/13, R, trailer) BFCA, CEH
The Invisible War (Docurama, 6/22, NR, trailer) FI
Possibilities
The Waiting Room (International Film Circuit, 9/26, TBA, trailer) FI
Five Broken Cameras (Kino Lorber, 5/30, NR, trailer) CEH
The House I Live In (Charlotte Street Films, 10/5, NR, trailer)
This Is Not a Film (Palisades Tartan, 2/29, NR, trailer)
Ethel (HBO Documentaries, TBA, TBA, TBA)

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE
Front-runners
Austria, Amour NBR, NYFCC, NYFCO, DCAC, IPA, HFPA, BFCA, FI
France, The Intouchables IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Denmark, A Royal Affair IPA, HFPA, BFCA
Switzerland, Sister FI
Chile, No
Major Threats
Norway, Kon-Tiki IPA, HFPA
Iceland, The Deep
Canada, War Witch IPA, FI
Romania, Beyond the Hills IPA

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Front-runners
Life of Pi NYFCO, DCAC, IPA, BFCA
The Master BSFC, IPA, BFCA
Lincoln IPA, BFCA
Skyfall LAFCA, IPA, BFCA
Zero Dark Thirty NYFCC
Major Threats
Beasts of the Southern Wild IPA, FI
Anna Karenina IPA
Cloud Atlas
Les Miserables BFCA
Moonrise Kingdom FI
Possibilities
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Django Unchained
The Dark Knight Rises
Argo
Samsara

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Front-runners
Anna Karenina IPA, BFCA
Cloud Atlas IPA, BFCA
Les Miserables IPA, BFCA
Lincoln BFCA
Snow White and the Huntsman IPA
Major Threats
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey BFCA
A Royal Affair IPA
Django Unchained
Mirror Mirror
The Dark Knight Rises

Possibilities
Argo
The Master
Moonrise Kingdom
Life of Pi
The Hunger Games
The Avengers

Prometheus

BEST FILM EDITING
Front-runners
Zero Dark Thirty LAFCA, IPA, BFCA
Lincoln BFCA
Argo BFCA
Les Miserables IPA, BFCA
The Master
Major Threats
Life of Pi BFCA
Silver Linings Playbook IPA
Cloud Atlas IPA
Beasts of the Southern Wild
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
The Impossible
Possibilities
Django Unchained
The Dark Knight Rises
The Bourne Legacy
Flight IPA
Moonrise Kingdom
Samsara

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Front-runners
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey BFCA
Lincoln BFCA
Men in Black 3
Major Threats
Les Miserables BFCA
Hitchcock
Looper

Snow White and the Huntsman

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Front-runners
Lincoln (John Williams) IPA, HFPA, BFCA
The Master (Johnny Greenwood) DCAC, IPA, BFCA
Life of Pi (Mychael Danna) HFPA, BFCA
Beasts of the Southern Wild (Dan Romer, Benh Zeitlin) LAFCA, DCAC, IPA
Argo (Alexandre Desplat)   IPA  , HFPA, BFCA
Major Threats
Rise of the Guardians (Alexandre Desplat)
Anna Karenina (Dario Marianelli) IPA, HFPA
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Howard Shore)
Skyfall (Thomas Newman) IPA
Zero Dark Thirty (Alexandre Desplat)
Cloud Atlas (Reinhold Heil, Johnny Klimek, Tom Tykwer) HFPA
Possibilities
The Dark Knight Rises (Hans Zimmer)
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (Thomas Newman)
On the Road (Gustavo Santaolalla)
The Hunger Games (James Newton Howard)
The Impossible (Fernando Velazquez)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Front-runners
Anna Karenina IPA, BFCA
Les Miserables IPA, BFCA
Lincoln IPA, BFCA
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey BFCA
Zero Dark Thirty
Major Threats
Life of Pi BFCA
Cloud Atlas DCAC
The Master LAFCA, IPA
Argo
Django Unchained
The Dark Knight Rises IPA
Possibilities
Skyfall
Beasts of the Southern Wild
A Royal Affair IPA
Moonrise Kingdom
The Impossible
Snow White and the Huntsman
Prometheus
Flight

BEST SOUND EDITING
Front-runners
Django Unchained
The Dark Knight Rises

Les Miserables IPA
Skyfall
Lincoln

Major Threats
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Zero Dark Thirty
The Avengers
The Impossible
Life of Pi IPA
The Master
Argo

Possibilities
Flight IPA
The Amazing Spider-Man
Cloud Atlas
The Impossible
The Bourne Legacy
The Hunger Games

BEST SOUND MIXING
Front-runners
Django Unchained
The Dark Knight Rises
Les Miserables
IPA
Skyfall
Lincoln

Major Threats
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Zero Dark Thirty
The Avengers
The Impossible
Life of Pi IPA
The Master
Argo

Possibilities
Flight
The Amazing Spider-Man
Cloud Atlas
The Impossible
The Bourne Legacy
The Hunger Games

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Front-runners
Life of Pi IPA, BFCA
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey BFCA
Cloud Atlas IPA, BFCA
The Dark Knight Rises IPA, BFCA
Skyfall IPA
Major Threats
The Avengers BFCA
The Amazing Spider-Man
Snow White & the Huntsman

Possibilities
Prometheus IPA
John Carter

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Front-runners
Paperman (Disney)
Combustible (Sunrise, Inc.)
The Eagleman Stag (Royal College of Art)
Tram (Sacrebleu Productions)
Maggie Simpson in 'The Longest Daycare' (Gracie Films)
Major Threats
Adam and Dog (Lodge Films)
Dripped (ChezEddy)
The Fall of the House of Usher (Melusine Productions, R&R Communications Inc., Les Armateurs, The Big Farm)
Fresh Guacamole (PES)
Head Over Heels (National Film and Television School)

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Front-runners
The Education of Mohammad Hussein (Loki Films)
Open Heart (Urban Landscapes Inc.)
Kings Point (Kings Point Documentary, Inc.)
Mondays at Racine (Cynthia Wade Productions)
Paraiso (The Strangebird Co.) CEH
Major Threats
Inocente (Shine Global, Inc.)
The Perfect Fit (SDI Productions Ltd.)
Redemption (Downtown Docs)

* * *

KEY

Contenders' names are followed, when appropriate, by acronyms of the major awards groups (see below) that have already named them winners (in orange) or nominees (in purple). Some nominations are still pending (they appear in italics).

ACE = 63rd Eddie Awards (TBA)

AFI = 13th American Film Institute Awards (TBA)

ADG = 17th Art Directors Guild Awards (TBA)

ASC = 27th American Society of Cinematographers Awards (TBA)

BAFTA = 66th British Academy Film Awards (TBA)

BFCA = 18th Critics' Choice Awards (TBA)

BSFC = 33rd Boston Society of Film Critics Awards (Dec. 9, 2012)

CAS = 49th Cinema Audio Society Awards (TBA)

CDG = 15th Costume Design Guild Awards (TBA)

CEH = 6th Cinema Eye Honors (Jan. 9, 2013)

DCAC = 11th Washington D.C. Area Film Critics Awards (Dec. 10, 2012)

DGA = 65th Directors Guild of America Awards (TBA)

FI = 26th Independent Spirit Awards

HFPA = 70th Golden Globe Awards (TBA)

IAFA = 40th Annie Awards (TBA)

IPA = 17th Satellite Awards (Dec. 16, 2012)

LAFCA = 38th Los Angeles Film Critics Association Awards (TBA)

MPSE = 60th Golden Reel Awards (TBA)

NBR = 84th National Board of Review Awards (TBA)

NSFC = 47th National Society of Film Critics Awards (TBA)

NYFCC = 78th New York Film Critics Circle Awards (TBA)

NYFCO = 12th New York Film Critics Online Awards (Dec. 9, 2012)

PGA = 24th Producers Guild of America Awards (TBA)

SAG = 19th Screen Actors Guild Awards (TBA)

USC = 25th USC Scripter Awards (TBA)

VES = 11th Visual Effects Society Awards (TBA)

WGA = 65th Writers Guild of America Awards (TBA)

* * *

ABOUT SCOTT FEINBERG AND THE "FEINBERG FORECAST"

Scott Feinberg is one of the film industry's most trusted awards analysts and has one of the world's best track records at forecasting the Oscars, something that he has been doing since 2001. His best showings came in 2006 (when he correctly called 21 of 24 winners) and 2004 (when he correctly called 20 of 24 winners). He was the only pundit to project long-shot best picture nominations for The Reader (2008), The Blind Side (2009) and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (2011).

Scott factors into his projections personal impressions (based on advance screenings at festivals or elsewhere), publicly available information (release dates, genres, talent rosters and teasers/trailers often offer valuable clues), historical considerations (comparing and contrasting how other films with similar pedigrees have resonated with the Academy), precursor awards (some awards groups have better track records than others of correlating with the Academy) and regular conversations with industry insiders (including fellow members of the press, awards strategists, filmmakers and voters).

Every week through the Oscars on Feb. 24, The Hollywood Reporter's awards analyst Scott Feinberg will release a new "Feinberg Forecast," a post in which he recaps the most noteworthy awards-related news of the past week and shares his latest assessment of the standings in each of the major awards categories. (For more information about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, as well as a key for the various colors and acronyms that appear throughout them, scroll to the bottom of this post.)