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Ben Zauzmer

More from Ben Zauzmer

How Much Does Box Office Really Impact Oscars TV Ratings?

While the pandemic didn’t help, viewership for the Oscars telecast, as well as the average box office returns of the films nominated for best picture, have been on a downward trend for years. Six of the past seven years of the telecasts on ABC saw a smaller audience than the year before. As for the […]

Inside the Academy’s Inclusion Drive

In June 2020, when just about everyone’s attention was focused on the COVID-19 pandemic winding into its third grim month, the Academy quietly made history. With invitations sent to 819 new members that spring, the group surpassed the ambitious — and controversial — inclusion goals it had set in 2016, after the Twitter trend #OscarsSoWhite […]

Predicting This Year’s Oscar Winners Using Just Math

The preferential ballot is many things to Oscar viewers. To the Academy itself, it’s a fairer way to build consensus around a best picture winner (but not the other 22 categories). To awards-watchers, it’s a source of consternation when they dislike a winner (say, Green Book over Roma). To the casual fans, it’s a term […]

Predicting This Year’s Oscar Nominations Using Just Math

As we pass the two-year mark of the pandemic, we are also well underway in the second Hollywood awards season impacted by COVID-19. Already, we’ve seen postponements for the Grammys, the Critics Choice Awards, and the Producers Guild Awards, among others. And as a domino effect from last year’s Oscar delay, this year will be […]

Tonys: Predicting the Musical Winners Using Math

My annual mathematical Tony predictions are meant to focus attention on the shows that received nominations, but almost as notable this year is what’s missing. A number of shows either missed the cutoff or never opened at all, due to the sudden shutdown of Broadway as the pandemic began. That includes musical revivals of West […]

Tonys: Predicting the Play Winners Using Math

Seemingly no aspect of entertainment – or life, for that matter – has gone untouched by this pandemic. We’ve found new and creative ways to keep ourselves entertained these past 18 months, but many of the old ways endured some tough times that they’re still struggling to reemerge from. Very few types of entertainment were […]

Are Emmy Voters Picking Fewer Winning Shows Than They Used to?

In the years since streaming services began creating original scripted content, the number of TV series has ballooned to about 500 per year. And yet, if you watched the Emmys last week, you’d be forgiven if you thought there were only four: The Crown, Ted Lasso, Hacks and Mare of Easttown. Those four shows collectively won […]

Predicting This Year’s Oscar Winners Using Just Math

Nomadland has done about all it can do to bolster its Oscar resume. Directors Guild? Check. Producers Guild? Check. BAFTAs? Check. Critics Choice Awards? Check. All of that adds up to a two-in-three chance of winning the top prize. 

The Math Behind Oscars’ Biggest Best Picture Upsets Ever

Yes, 'Crash' tops the list of best picture shockers, mathematically speaking, with only a 23 percent chance to claim the top honor over 'Brokeback Mountain.' What might contenders this year glean from Oscar history?

SAG Awards: Actors Whose Casts Are Also Nominated Are Twice as Likely to Win

Combing through 25  years of Screen Actors Guild Awards winner data results in some surprising intel for what could unfold at this year’s ceremony.

SAG Awards: Are Bigger Casts Better When It Comes to Capturing the Top Prizes?

Oscar mathematician Ben Zauzmer analyzed 25  years of Screen Actors Guild Awards winner data to yield some surprising results.

Predicting This Year’s Oscar Nominations Using Just Math

From new eligibility rules to new BAFTA voting procedures to a new awards timeline to watching all movies at home, this will be an awards season unlike any other.