Feinberg Forecast: Lay of the Land Before the Golden Globe and SAG Awards

Best Picture

FRONTRUNNERS

The Post (Fox)
Dunkirk (Warner Bros.)
The Shape of Water (Fox Searchlight)
Get Out (Universal)
Call Me By Your Name (Sony Classics)
Lady Bird (A24)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Fox Searchlight)
The Florida Project (A24)
The Big Sick (Lionsgate)
I, Tonya (Neon/30WEST)

MAJOR THREATS

Wonder Woman (Warner Bros.)
Darkest Hour (Focus Features)
Mudbound (Netflix)
Molly's Game (STX)
Downsizing (Paramount)

POSSIBILITIES

Phantom Thread (Focus Features)
Wonder (Lionsgate)
Wind River (Acacia)
Battle of the Sexes (Fox Searchlight)
Beauty and the Beast (Disney)

LONG SHOTS

Mother! (Paramount)
Blade Runner 2049 (Warner Bros.)
War for the Planet of the Apes (Fox)
Detroit (Annapurna)
Victoria & Abdul (Focus Features)

STILL TO COME (alphabetical)

All the Money in the World (Sony)
The Greatest Showman (Fox)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney)

Best Director

FRONTRUNNERS

Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
Steven Spielberg (The Post) — podcast
Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water) — podcast
Jordan Peele (Get Out) — podcast
Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird) — podcast

MAJOR THREATS

Sean Baker (The Florida Project) — podcast
Luca Guadagnino (Call Me By Your Name)
Martin McDonagh (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Joe Wright (Darkest Hour)
Patty Jenkins (Wonder Woman)

POSSIBILITES

Alexander Payne (Downsizing)
Aaron Sorkin (Molly's Game)
Dee Rees (Mudbound)
Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread)
Darren Aronofksy (Mother!)

LONG SHOTS

Denis Villeneuve (Blade Runner 2049)
Kathryn Bigelow (Detroit)
Todd Haynes (Wonderstruck)
Matt Reeves (War for the Planet of the Apes)
Craig Gillespie (I, Tonya)

STILL TO COME (alphabetical)

Michael Gracey (The Greatest Showman)
Rian Johnson (Star Wars: The Last Jedi)
Ridley Scott (All the Money in the World)

Best Actor

FRONTRUNNERS

Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name)
Tom Hanks (The Post)
Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread)
James Franco (The Disaster Artist) — podcast

MAJOR THREATS

Jake Gyllenhaal (Stronger)
Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)
Jamie Bell (Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool)
Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel, Esq.) — podcast

POSSIBILITIES

Robert Pattinson (Good Time) — podcast
Jeremy Renner (Wind River)
Matt Damon (Downsizing)
Andrew Garfield (Breathe) — podcast

LONG SHOTS

Christian Bale (Hostiles)
Jacob Tremblay (Wonder)
Andy Serkis (War for the Planet of the Apes)
Kumail Nanjiani (The Big Sick) — podcast

STILL TO COME (alphabetical)

Hugh Jackman (The Greatest Showman)

Best Actress

FRONTRUNNERS

Margot Robbie (I, Tonya) — podcast
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird) — podcast
Meryl Streep (The Post) — podcast
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game) — podcast

MAJOR THREATS

Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)
Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel) — podcast
Judi Dench (Victoria & Abdul) — podcast
Annette Bening (Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool)

POSSIBILITIES

Gal Gadot (Wonder Woman) — podcast
Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes) — podcast
Brooklynn Prince (The Florida Project) — podcast
Jennifer Lawrence (Mother!) — podcast

LONG SHOTS

Diane Kruger (In the Fade)
Salma Hayek (Beatriz at Dinner)
Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread)

STILL TO COME (Alphabetical)

Michelle Williams (All the Money in the World)

Best Supporting Actor

FRONTRUNNERS

Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name)
Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name)
Ray Romano (The Big Sick)

MAJOR THREATS

Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water)
Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water) — podcast
Sebastian Stan (I, Tonya)
Bob Odenkirk (The Post) — podcast
Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

POSSIBILITIES

Tracy Letts (Lady Bird)
Mark Rylance (Dunkirk)
Bradley Whitford (Get Out)
Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes)
Jim Belushi (Wonder Wheel)

LONG SHOTS

John Boyega (Detroit) — podcast
Ben Mendelsohn (Darkest Hour) — podcast
Idris Elba (Molly's Game) — podcast
Patrick Stewart (Logan)
Bill Skarsgard (It)

STILL TO COME (alphabetical)

Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World)

Best Supporting Actress

FRONTRUNNERS

Allison Janney (I, Tonya) — podcast
Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
Holly Hunter (The Big Sick)
Hong Chau (Downsizing)
Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)

MAJOR THREATS

Bria Vinaite (The Florida Project)
Mary J. Blige (Mudbound)
Tiffany Haddish (Girls Trip)
Catherine Keener (Get Out)

POSSIBILITIES

Julia Roberts (Wonder)
Lois Smith (Marjorie Prime)
Melissa Leo (Novitiate)
Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread)

LONG SHOTS

Carey Mulligan (Mudbound)
Kristin Scott Thomas (Darkest Hour)
Tatiana Maslany (Stronger)
Julianne Moore (Wonderstruck)

STILL TO COME (alphabetical)

Carrie Fisher (Star Wars: The Last Jedi)

Best Adapted Screenplay

FRONTRUNNERS

Call Me By Your Name (James Ivory)
Molly's Game (Aaron Sorkin)
Mudbound (Dee Rees & Virgil Williams)
The Disaster Artist (Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber)
Wonder (Stephen Chbosky, Steve Conrad & Jack Thorne)

MAJOR THREATS

Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool (Matt Greenhalgh)
Wonderstruck (Brian Selznick)
Victoria & Abdul (Lee Hall)

POSSIBILITIES

Wonder Woman (Jason Fuchs, Allan Heinberg & Zack Snyder)
First They Killed My Father (Angelina Jolie & Loung Ung) — podcast (Jolie)
Beauty and the Beast (Stephen Chbosky & Evan Spiliotopoulos)

LONG SHOTS

War for the Planet of the Apes (Mark Bomback & Matt Reeves)
The Beguiled (Sofia Coppola)

STILL TO COME (alphabetical)

All the Money in the World (David Scarpa)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Rian Johnson)

Best Original Screenplay

FRONTRUNNERS

Get Out (Jordan Peele)
Lady Bird (Greta Gerwig) — podcast
The Post (Liz Hannah & Josh Singer)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Martin McDonagh)
The Big Sick (Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani) — podcast (Nanjiani)

MAJOR THREATS

The Shape of Water (Guillermo del Toro & Vanessa Taylor)
I, Tonya (Steven Rogers)
The Florida Project (Sean Baker & Chris Bergoch)
Darkest Hour (Anthony McCarten)
Dunkirk (Christopher Nolan)
Phantom Thread (Paul Thomas Anderson)

POSSIBILITIES

Downsizing (Alexander Payne & Jim Taylor)
Detroit (Mark Boal)
Wind River (Taylor Sheridan)
Wonder Wheel (Woody Allen)
Coco (Matthew Aldrich, Adrian Molina & Lee Unkrich)

LONG SHOTS

Mother! (Darren Aronofsky)
The Meyerowitz Stories (New and Selected) (Noah Baumbach)
Battle of the Sexes (Simon Beaufoy)
Hostiles (Scott Cooper & Donald E. Stewart)
The Square (Ruben Ostlund)

STILL TO COME (alphabetical)

The Greatest Showman (Jenny Bicks & Bill Condon)

Best Animated Feature

FRONTRUNNERS

Coco (Pixar)
The Breadwinner (GKIDS)
Loving Vincent (Good Deed Entertainment)
Cars 3 (Pixar)
The Lego Batman Movie (Warner Bros.)

MAJOR THREATS

Despicable Me 3 (Universal)
The Girl Without Hands (GKIDS)
Birdboy: The Forgotten Children (GKIDS)
Ethel & Ernest (Dada Films)

POSSIBILITIES

Captain Underpants (Fox)
The Star (Sony)
The Boss Baby (Fox)
The Lego Ninjago Movie (Warner Bros.)

LONG SHOTS

Cinderella the Cat (TBD)
My Entire High School Sinking Into the Sea (GKIDS)
Smurfs: The Lost Village (Sony)
The Emoji Movie (Sony)

Best Documentary Feature

FRONTRUNNERS

Icarus (Netflix)
Jane (Abramorama)
Faces Places (Cohen Media Group)
LA 92 (National Geographic)
City of Ghosts (IFC Films)

MAJOR THREATS

Long Strange Trip (Abramorama)
Human Flow (Amazon)
Strong Island (Netflix)
Chasing Coral (Netflix)
One of Us (Netflix)

POSSIBILITIES

An Inconvenient Sequel (Paramount)
Last Men in Aleppo (Grasshopper Film)
Abacus: Small Enough to Jail (PBS)
Ex-Libris: New York Public Library (Zipporah)
Unrest (Shella Films)

Best Foreign Language Film

FRONTRUNNERS

Israel (Foxtrot)
Sweden (The Square)
France (BPM (Beats Per Minute))
Chile (A Fantastic Woman)
Lebanon (The Insult)

MAJOR THREATS (Remainder of Shortlist)

Russia (Loveless)
Germany (In the Fade)
Cambodia (First They Killed My Father) — podcast (Angelina Jolie)
South Africa (The Wound) NEW

POSSIBILITIES

Switzerland (The Divine Order)
Hungary (On Body and Soul)
Czech Republic (Ice Mother) NEW
Norway (Thelma)
Poland (Spoor)
Austria (Happy End)

LONG SHOTS

Italy (A Ciambra)
Thailand (By the Time It Gets Dark)
Nepal (White Sun)
Finland (Tom of Finland)
Hong Kong (Mad World)
South Korea (A Taxi Driver)

Best Cinematography

FRONTRUNNERS

Dunkirk (Hoyte van Hoytema)
Blade Runner 2049 (Roger Deakins)
The Post (Janusz Kaminski)
The Shape of Water (Dan Laustsen)
Darkest Hour (Bruno Delbonnel)

MAJOR THREATS

Wonderstruck (Ed Lachman)
Mudbound (Rachel Morrison)
Lady Bird (Sam Levy)
Detroit (Barry Ackroyd)
I, Tonya (Nicolas Karakatsanis)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Ben Davis)
Call Me By Your Name (Sayombhu Mukdeeprom)

POSSIBILITIES

Beauty and the Beast (Tobias A. Schliessler)
Mother! (Matthew Libatique)
The Florida Project (Alexis Zabe)
Downsizing (Phedon Papamichael)
Wonder Woman (Matthew Jensen)
Wonder Wheel (Vittorio Storaro)

LONG SHOTS

War for the Planet of the Apes (Michael Seresin)
Atomic Blonde (Jonathan Sela)
First They Killed My Father (Anthony Dod Mantle)
Hostiles (Masanobu Takayanagi)
Baby Driver (Bill Pope)
Phantom Thread (Paul Thomas Anderson)

STILL TO COME (alphabetical)

The Greatest Showman (Seamus McGarvey)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Steve Yedlin)

Best Film Editing

FRONTRUNNERS

Dunkirk (Lee Smith)
The Post (Sarah Broshar & Michael Kahn)
The Shape of Water (Sidney Wolinsky)
Baby Driver (Jonathan Amos & Paul Machliss)
I, Tonya (Tatiana S. Riegel)

MAJOR THREATS (Remainder of Shortlist)

Blade Runner 2049 (Joe Walker)
Darkest Hour (Valerio Bonelli)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Jon Gregory)
Lady Bird (Nick Houy)
Get Out (Gregory Plotkin)
Call Me By Your Name (Walter Fasano)

POSSIBILITIES

Detroit (William Goldenberg & Harry Yoon)
Wonder Woman (Martin Walsh)
Mother! (Andrew Weisblum)
The Florida Project (Sean Baker)
Molly's Game (Alan Baumgarten, Elliot Graham & Josh Schaeffer)
War for the Planet of the Apes (William Hoy & Stan Salfas)

LONG SHOTS

Beauty and the Beast (Virginia Katz)
Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 2 (Fred Raskin & Craig Wood)
Okja (Yang Jinmo)
Downsizing (Kevin Tent)
Mudbound (Mako Kamitsuna)
Phantom Thread (Dylan Tichenor)

STILL TO COME (alphabetical)

The Greatest Showman (Joe Hutshing)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Bob Ducsay)

Best Original Score

FRONTRUNNERS

Dunkirk (Hans Zimmer)
The Shape of Water (Alexandre Desplat)
Darkest Hour (Dario Marianelli)
The Post (John Williams)
Wonderstruck (Carter Burwell)

MAJOR THREATS

Phantom Thread (Jonny Greenwood)
Blade Runner 2049 (Benjamin Wallfisch & Hans Zimmer)
Victoria and Abdul (Thomas Newman)
Detroit (James Newton Howard)

POSSIBILITIES

Wonder Woman (Rupert Gregson-Williams)
War for the Planet of the Apes (Michael Giacchino)
Molly's Game (Daniel Pemberton)
Battle of the Sexes (Nicholas Britell)

LONG SHOTS

Mudbound (Tamar-kali)
Okja (Jaeil Jung)
Breathe (Nitin Sawhney)
Jane (Philip Glass) — podcast

STILL TO COME (alphabetical)

The Greatest Showman (John Debney, Benj Pasek & Justin Paul)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi (John Williams)

Best Original Song

FRONTRUNNERS

"Stand Up for Something" — performed by Andra Day & Common; written by Diane Warren (Marshall) — podcast (Common) & podcast (Warren)
"Evermore" — performed by Dan Stevens; written by Alan Menken & Tim Rice (Beauty and the Beast)
"It Ain't Fair" — performed by The Roots, ft. Bilal; written by The Roots (Detroit)
"I Don't Wanna Live Forever" — performed by Taylor Swift & Zayn Malik; written by Jack Antonoff, Sam Drew & Taylor Swift (Fifty Shades Darker)
"Jump" — performed by Cynthia Erivo; written by Raphael Saadiq, Taura Stinson, & Laura Karpman (Step)

MAJOR THREATS

"This Is Me" — performed by Keala Settle; written by Benj Pasek & Justin Paul (The Greatest Showman)
"Remember Me" — written by Bobby Lopez and Kristen Anderson Lopez; performed by Miguel and Natalia Lafourcade (Coco)
"Truth to Power" — performed by One Republic; written by Ryan Tedder & T-Bone Burnett (An Inconvenient Sequel)
"The Mystery of Love" — performed by Sufjan Stevens; written by Sufjan Stevens (Call Me By Your Name)
"Prayers for This World" — performed by Cher; written by Diane Warren (Cries from Syria) — podcast (Warren)
"You Shouldn't Look at Me That Way" — performed by Elvis Costello; written by Elvis Mitchell (Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool)
"There’s Something Special" — performed by Pharrell Williams; written by Pharrell Williams (Despicable Me 3)
"To Be Human" — performed by Sia; written by Florence Welch & Rick Nowels (Wonder Woman)
"The Promise" — performed by Chris Cornell; written by Chris Cornell (The Promise)
"Dancing Through the Wreckage" — performed by Pat Benatar; written by Pat Benatar, Neil Giraldo & Linda Perry (Served Like a Girl)

POSSIBILITIES

"If I Dare" performed by Sara Bareilles; written by Sara Bareilles & Nicholas Britell (Battle of the Sexes)
"The Star" — performed by Mariah Carey; written by Mariah Carey & Marc Shaiman (The Star)
"Home" — performed by Nick Jonas; written by Nick Jonas, Nick Monson & Justin Tranter (Ferdinand)
"Hold the Light" — performed by Dierks Bentley; written by Sean Carey, Dierks Bentley, Jon Randall & Joseph Trapanese (Only the Brave)
"Visions of Gideon" — performed by Sufjan Stevens; written by Sufjan Stevens (Call Me By Your Name)
"Mighty River" — performed by Mary J. Blige; written by Mary J. Blige, Raphael Saadiq & Taura Stinson (Mudbound)
"Tell Me How Long" — performed by Kristen Bell; written by Dan Romer & Terry Geiger (Chasing Coral)
"How Does a Moment Last Forever" — performed by Emma Watson; written by Alan Menken & Tim Rice (Beauty and the Beast)
"Days in the Sun" — performed by Emma Watson, Audra McDonald, et al; written by Alan Menken & Tim Rice (Beauty and the Beast)

Best Production Design

FRONTRUNNERS

Dunkirk (Warner Bros.)
Blade Runner 2049 (Warner Bros.)
Beauty and the Beast (Disney)
The Shape of Water (Fox Searchlight)
Wonderstruck (Amazon)

MAJOR THREATS (Remainder of Shortlist)

The Post (Fox)
Phantom Thread (Focus Features)
Downsizing (Paramount)
Murder on the Orient Express (Fox) NEW
Wonder Woman (Warner Bros.)

POSSIBILITIES

Get Out (Universal)
Darkest Hour (Focus Features)
Mother! (Paramount)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Fox Searchlight)
Okja (Netflix)
Wonder Wheel (Amazon)

LONG SHOTS

Baby Driver (Sony)
War for the Planet of the Apes (Fox)
Battle of the Sexes (Fox Searchlight)
Breathe (Bleecker Street)
Mudbound (Netflix)
Call Me By Your Name (Sony Classics)

STILL TO COME (alphabetical)

The Greatest Showman (Fox)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney)