Feinberg Forecast: First Post-Nominations Read of the Race to the 90th Oscars

12:45 PM 1/23/2018

by Scott Feinberg

'The Shape of Water'
'The Shape of Water'
Courtesy of Telluride Film Festival

The listings below reflect how The Hollywood Reporter's awards columnist Scott Feinberg believes the Oscar standings would look if voting ended today. They are formulated using a combination of personal impressions (from screenings), historical considerations (how other films with similar pedigrees have resonated), precursor awards (some groups have historically correlated with the Academy more than others) and consultations with industry insiders (including fellow members of the press, awards strategists, filmmakers and voters). Please note that the companies listed alongside film titles are their U.S. distributors according to IMDb.com.

Below are the current rankings in order, 1 being the strongest contender. 

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