THR's awards columnist Scott Feinberg offers the first of what will be weekly assessments the race. This one covers 16 major categories.

The charts below reflect how THR's awards columnist Scott Feinberg believes the Emmy standings would look if voting ended today. They are formulated using a combination of personal impressions (from sampling many programs), historical considerations (how other shows with similar pedigrees have resonated), precursor awards (some groups have historically correlated with the TV Academy more than others) and consultations with industry insiders (including voters, content creators, awards strategists and fellow members of the press).

• Best Drama Series

  

  FRONTRUNNERS

  Game of Thrones (HBO)
  The Handmaid's Tale (Hulu)
  This Is Us (NBC)
  The Crown (Netflix)
  Stranger Things (Netflix)
  The Americans (FX)
  Westworld (HBO)

  MAJOR THREATS

  Homeland (Showtime)
  Ozark (Netflix) NEW!
  The Chi (Showtime) NEW!
  Trust (FX) NEW!
  Ray Donovan (Showtime)
  Mindhunter (Netflix) NEW!
  The Deuce (HBO) NEW!
  Killing Eve (BBC America) NEW!

  POSSIBILITIES

  The Good Doctor (ABC) NEW!
  Mr. Robot (USA)
  Counterpart (Starz) NEW!
  Orange Is the New Black (Netflix)
  Sneaky Pete (Amazon)
  13 Reasons Why (Netflix)
  Legion (FX)
  Outlander (Starz)

  LONG SHOTS

  Altered Carbon (Netflix) NEW!
  Good Girls (NBC) NEW!
  Here and Now (HBO) NEW!
  Billions (Showtime)
  Narcos (Netflix)
  Empire (Fox)
  Scandal (ABC)
  UnREAL (Lifetime)
  Victoria (PBS)

• Best Comedy Series

  FRONTRUNNERS

  The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon) NEW!
  Atlanta (FX)
  Black-ish (ABC)
  Silicon Valley (HBO)
  Will and Grace (NBC) NEW!
  Barry (HBO) NEW!
  GLOW (Netflix) NEW!

  MAJOR THREATS

  Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt (Netflix)
  Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO)
  Modern Family (ABC)
  Roseanne (ABC) NEW!
  Better Things (FX)
  SMILF (Showtime) NEW!
  Shameless (Showtime)
  Insecure (HBO)
  The Big Bang Theory (CBS)
  The Last O.G. (TBS) NEW!

  POSSIBILITIES

  Arrested Development (Netflix) NEW!
  Mom (CBS)
  The Good Place (NBC)
  Mozart in the Jungle (Amazon)
  Grace and Frankie (Netflix)
  Crazy Ex-Girlfriend (The CW)
  Baskets (FX)
  Fresh Off the Boat (ABC)
  Transparent (Amazon)

  LONG SHOTS

  Jane the Virgin (The CW)
  Divorce (HBO)
  One Day at a Time (Netflix)
  Superstore (NBC)
  Great News (NBC)
  Brockmire (IFC)
  Brooklyn Nine-Nine (Fox)
  You're the Worst (FX)

• Best Limited Series

  FRONTRUNNERS

  The Looming Tower (Hulu)
  Twin Peaks (Showtime)
  The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
  Godless (Netflix)
  Howards End (Starz)

  MAJOR THREATS

  Patrick Melrose (Showtime)
  Top of the Lake: China Girl (Sundance TV)
  The Sinner (USA)
  Mosaic (HBO)
  Genius (National Geographic)
  American Vandal (Netflix)
  The Long Road Home (National Geographic)

  POSSIBILITIES

  Little Women (PBS)
  Law & Order True Crime: The Menendez Murders (A&E)
  American Horror Story: Cult (FX)
  Collateral (Netflix)
  The Girlfriend Experience (Starz)
  The Terror (AMC)

  LONG SHOTS

  Alias Grace (Netflix)
  Waco (Paramount Network)
  Unsolved (USA)
  National Treasure: Kiri (Hulu)
  Gunpowder (HBO)
  The Alienist (TNT)
  Love, Lies & Records (Acorn TV)
• Best Television Movie

  FRONTRUNNERS

  Black Mirror: USS Callister (Netflix)
  Fahrenheit 451 (HBO)
  Paterno (HBO)
  The Tale (HBO)
  Philip K. Dick's Electric Dreams (Amazon)

  MAJOR THREATS

  Flint (Lifetime)
  Notes from the Field (HBO)
  The Child in Time (BBC One)
  A Futile and Stupid Gesture (Netflix)

  POSSIBILITIES

  I Am Elizabeth Smart (Lifetime)
  Cocaine Godmother (Lifetime)
  Story of a Girl (Lifetime)
  George Gently and the New Age (Acorn TV)

• Best Actor in a Drama Series

  FRONTRUNNERS

  Sterling K. Brown (This Is Us) — podcast
  Milo Ventimiglia (This Is Us)
  Kit Harington (Game of Thrones)
  Liev Schreiber (Ray Donovan)
  Matthew Rhys (The Americans)
  Jason Bateman (Ozark) NEW!
  Donald Sutherland (Trust) NEW!

  MAJOR THREATS

  Ed Harris (Westworld)
  J.K. Simmons (Counterpart) NEW!
  Freddie Highmore (The Good Doctor) NEW!
  Jason Mitchell (The Chi) NEW!
  Matt Smith (The Crown)
  Joseph Fiennes (The Handmaid's Tale)
  Rami Malek (Mr. Robot) — podcast
  Jonathan Groff (Mindhunter) NEW!
  Billy Bob Thornton (Goliath) — podcast

  POSSIBLITIES

  James Franco (The Deuce) — podcast NEW!
  Tim Robbins (Here and Now) NEW!
  Giovanni Ribisi (Sneaky Pete)
  Sam Heughan (Outlander)
  Dan Stevens (Legion)
  Paul Giamatti (Billions)
  Dylan Minnette (13 Reasons Why)
  Pierce Brosnan (The Son) NEW!
  Peter Krause (9-1-1) NEW!

  LONG SHOTS

  Brendan Gleeson (Mr. Mercedes) NEW!
  David Duchovny (The X-Files)
  Kiefer Sutherland (Designated Survivor)
  Terrence Howard (Empire)
  Wagner Moura (Narcos)
  Damian Lewis (Billions)
  Hugh Dancy (The Path)
  Aaron Paul (The Path)
  Tom Hardy (Taboo)
  Joel Kinnaman (Altered Carbon) NEW!

• Best Actress in a Drama Series

  FRONTRUNNERS

  Elisabeth Moss (The Handmaid's Tale) — podcast
  Claire Foy (The Crown) — podcast
  Keri Russell (The Americans)
  Evan Rachel Wood (Westworld)
  Claire Danes (Homeland)
  Mandy Moore (This Is Us) — podcast
  Emilia Clarke (Game of Thrones)

  MAJOR THREATS

  Laura Linney (Ozark) NEW!
  Tatiana Maslany (Orphan Black)
  Viola Davis (How to Get Away with Murder)
  Sandra Oh (Killing Eve) NEW!
  Jodie Comer (Killing Eve) NEW!
  Maggie Gyllenhaal (The Deuce) NEW!
  Christina Hendricks (Good Girls) NEW!

  POSSIBILITIES

  Regina King (Seven Seconds) NEW!
  Christine Baranski (The Good Fight)
  Holly Hunter (Here and Now) NEW!
  Angela Bassett (9-1-1) NEW!
  Caitriona Balfe (Outlander)
  Taraji P. Henson (Empire) — podcast
  Kerry Washington (Scandal)

  LONG SHOTS

  Krysten Ritter (Jessica Jones) — podcast
  Taylor Schilling (Orange Is the New Black)
  Gillian Anderson (The X-Files)
  Michelle Monaghan (The Path)
  Shiri Appleby (UnREAL)
  Melissa Leo (I'm Dying Up Here)
  Jenna Coleman (Victoria)
• Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

  FRONTRUNNERS

  Peter Dinklage (Game of Thrones)
  David Harbour (Stranger Things)
  Jeffrey Wright (Westworld)
  Jon Voight (Ray Donovan)
  Justin Hartley (This Is Us)
  Ron Cephas Jones (This Is Us)

  MAJOR THREATS

  Nikolaj Coster-Waldau (Game of Thrones)
  Mandy Patinkin (Homeland)
  Noah Emmerich (The Americans)
  Max Minghella (The Handmaid's Tale)
  Brendan Fraser (Trust) NEW!
  Noah Schnapp (Stranger Things)

  POSSIBILITIES

  Asia Kate Dillon (Billions)
  Delroy Lindo (The Good Fight)
  Christian Slater (Mr. Robot)
  Richard Schiff (The Good Doctor)
  Hill Harper (The Good Doctor) NEW!
  Bobby Cannavale (Mr. Robot)

  LONG SHOTS

  Harris Dickinson (Trust)
  James Marsden (Westworld)
  Alex Hibbert (The Chi)
  David Strathairn (McMafia) NEW!
  BD Wong (Mr. Robot)
  Justin Bartha (The Good Fight)

• Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

  FRONTRUNNERS

  Millie Bobby Brown (Stranger Things)
  Lena Headey (Game of Thrones)
  Ann Dowd (The Handmaid's Tale)
  Thandie Newton (Westworld)
  Chrissy Metz (This Is Us)
  Alexis Bledel (The Handmaid's Tale)

  MAJOR THREATS

  Hilary Swank (Trust) NEW!
  Maisie Williams (Game of Thrones)
  Sophie Turner (Game of Thrones) — podcast
  Julia Garner (Ozark) NEW!
  Vanessa Kirby (The Crown)
  Yvonne Strahovski (The Handmaid's Tale)
  Winona Ryder (Stranger Things)
  Uzo Aduba (Orange Is the New Black)
  Cush Jumbo (The Good Fight)
  Anna Torv (Mindhunter) NEW!

  POSSIBILITIES

  Margo Martindale (Sneaky Pete)
  Janet McTeer (Jessica Jones)
  Connie Britton (9-1-1) NEW!
  Maggie Siff (Billions)
  Constance Zimmer (UnREAL)
  Betty Gabriel (Westworld)
  Holly Taylor (The Americans)
  Retta (Good Girls) NEW!
  Mae Whitman (Good Girls) NEW!
  Mary-Louise Parker (Mr. Mercedes) NEW!
  Holland Taylor (Mr. Mercedes) NEW!

  LONG SHOTS

  Aubrey Plaza (Legion)
  Susan Sarandon (Ray Donovan) NEW!
  Renee Elise Goldsberry (Altered Carbon) NEW!
  Elizabeth Marvel (Homeland)
  Aisha Hinds (9-1-1) NEW!
  Carly Chaikin (Mr. Robot)
  Portia Doubleday (Mr. Robot)
  Paula Malcomson (Ray Donovan)
  Malin Akerman (Billions)
  Audra McDonald (The Good Fight)

• Best Actor in a Comedy Series

  FRONTRUNNERS

  Donald Glover (Atlanta)
  Anthony Anderson (Black-ish)
  Eric McCormack (Will and Grace) NEW!
  William H. Macy (Shameless)
  Bill Hader (Barry) NEW!
  John Goodman (Roseanne) NEW!

  MAJOR THREATS

  Louie Anderson (Baskets)
  Larry David (Curb Your Enthusiasm)
  Zach Galifianakis (Baskets)
  Matt LeBlanc (Episodes)
  Ted Danson (The Good Place)
  Tracy Morgan (The Last O.G.) NEW!
  Jason Bateman (Arrested Development) NEW!
  Thomas Middleditch (Silicon Valley)

  POSSIBILITIES

  Jim Parsons (The Big Bang Theory)
  Will Forte (The Last Man on Earth) — podcast
  Ian Armitage (Young Sheldon) NEW!
  Thomas Haden Church (Divorce)
  Hank Azaria (Brockmire) — podcast
  Gael Garcia Bernal (Mozart in the Jungle)
  Fred Armisen (Portlandia)
  Randall Park (Fresh Off the Boat)

  LONG SHOTS

  Jeffrey Tambor (Transparent)
  Neil Patrick Harris (A Series of Unfortunate Events)
  Timothy Olyphant (Santa Clarita Diet)
  Andy Samberg (Brooklyn Nine-Nine)
  Chris O'Dowd (Get Shorty) NEW!
  Tommy Dewey (Casual)
  Eugene Levy (Schitt's Creek) — podcast
• Best Actress in a Comedy Series

  FRONTRUNNERS

  Rachel Brosnahan (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) — podcast NEW!
  Allison Janney (Mom) — podcast
  Tracee Ellis Ross (Black-ish)
  Debra Messing (Will and Grace) NEW!
  Alison Brie (GLOW) NEW!
  Pamela Adlon (Better Things)
  Frankie Shaw (SMILF) — podcast NEW!

  MAJOR THREATS

  Ellie Kemper (Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt)
  Issa Rae (Insecure)
  Lily Tomlin (Grace and Frankie) — podcast
  Jane Fonda (Grace and Frankie) — podcast
  Roseanne Barr (Roseanne) NEW!
  Minnie Driver (Speechless)
  Rachel Bloom (Crazy Ex-Girlfriend)
  Gina Rodriguez (Jane the Virgin)
  Emmy Rossum (Shameless)
  Tiffany Haddish (The Last O.G.) NEW!
  Justine Machado (One Day at a Time)

  POSSIBILITIES

  Kristen Bell (The Good Place)
  Sarah Jessica Parker (Divorce)
  Tracey Ullmann (Tracey Ullmann's Show)
  Andrea Martin (Great News) — podcast
  Kathy Bates (Disjointed) NEW!
  Sutton Foster (Younger)
  Portia de Rossi (Arrested Development) NEW!
  Kaitlin Olson (The Mick)
  Constance Wu (Fresh Off the Boat)
  Anna Faris (Mom)

  LONG SHOTS

  Logan Browning (Dear White People)
  Carrie Brownstein (Portlandia)
  Jennifer Jason Leigh (Atypical) NEW!
  Katy Mixon (American Housewife) NEW!
  Yara Shahidi (Grown-ish) NEW!
  Catherine O'Hara (Schitt's Creek) — podcast
  Amanda Peet (Brockmire)
  America Ferrera (Superstore)
  Rashida Jones (Angie Tribeca)
  Michaela Watkins (Casual)

• Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

  FRONTRUNNERS

  Alec Baldwin (Saturday Night Live)
  Sean Hayes (Will and Grace) NEW!
  Tituss Burgess (Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt)
  Tony Shalhoub (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) NEW!
  Marc Maron (GLOW) — podcast NEW!
  Henry Winkler (Barry) NEW!

  MAJOR THREATS

  Brian Tyree Henry (Atlanta)
  Michael Zegen (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) NEW!
  Kumail Nanjiani (Silicon Valley) — podcast
  Tony Hale (Arrested Development) NEW!
  Ty Burrell (Modern Family)
  Ed O'Neill (Modern Family)
  Eric Stonestreet (Modern Family)
  Jesse Tyler Ferguson (Modern Family)
  Lakeith Stanfield (Atlanta)
  Andre Braugher (Brooklyn Nine-Nine)
  Zach Woods (Silicon Valley)
  Walton Goggins (Vice Principals)
  Stephen Root (Barry) NEW!

  POSSIBILITIES

  Will Arnett (Arrested Development) NEW!
  David Cross (Arrested Development) NEW!
  Michael Cera (Arrested Development) NEW!
  Beck Bennett (Saturday Night Live)
  Laurence Fishburne (Black-ish)
  Kenan Thompson (Saturday Night Live)
  Simon Helberg (The Big Bang Theory)
  Jeff Garlin (Curb Your Enthusiasm)
  J.B. Smoove (Curb Your Enthusiasm)
  Ted Danson (Curb Your Enthusiasm)

  LONG SHOTS

  Martin Sheen (Grace and Frankie)
  Sam Waterston (Grace and Frankie)
  Malcolm McDowell (Mozart in the Jungle)
  Ray Romano (Get Shorty)
  Patton Oswalt (A.P. Bio) NEW!
  Tony Danza (There's Johnny) NEW!
  Tracy Letts (Divorce)
  Jay Duplass (Transparent)
  John Michael Higgins (Great News)
  William Jackson Harper (The Good Place)
  Manny Jacinto (The Good Place)
  Jeffrey Tambor (Arrested Development) NEW!

• Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

  FRONTRUNNERS

  Kate McKinnon (Saturday Night Live)
  Alex Borstein (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) NEW!
  Megan Mullally (Will and Grace) NEW!
  Laurie Metcalf (Roseanne) NEW!
  Zazie Beetz (Atlanta)
  Rita Moreno (One Day at a Time)

  MAJOR THREATS

  Marin Hinkle (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) NEW!
  Betty Gilpin (GLOW) NEW!
  Leslie Jones (Saturday Night Live)
  Jane Krakowski (Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt)
  Mayim Bialik (The Big Bang Theory)
  Jennifer Lewis (Black-ish)
  Rosie O'Donnell (SMILF) NEW!
  Sara Gilbert (Roseanne) NEW!
  Jessica Walter (Arrested Development) NEW!
  Alia Shawkat (Arrested Development) NEW!

  POSSIBILITIES

  Julie Bowen (Modern Family)
  Sofia Vergara (Modern Family)
  Judith Light (Transparent)
  Gaby Hoffman (Transparent)
  Amy Landecker (Transparent)
  Carol Kane (Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt)
  Andrea Martin (Great News) — podcast
  Nicole Richie (Great News)
  Yvonne Orji (Insecure)
  Molly Shannon (Divorce)

  LONG SHOTS

  Cecily Strong (Saturday Night Live)
  Aidy Bryant (Saturday Night Live)
  Kristen Schaal (Last Man on Earth)
  Jameela Jamil (The Good Place)
  D'Arcy Carden (The Good Place)
  Cheryl Hines (Curb Your Enthusiasm)
  Susie Essman (Curb Your Enthusiasm)
  Annie Potts (Young Sheldon)
  Zoe Perry (Young Sheldon)
  Kaley Cuoco (The Big Bang Theory)
  Bernadette Peters (Mozart in the Jungle)
• Best Actor in a Limited Series or a Television Movie

  FRONTRUNNERS

  Darren Criss (The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story)
  Al Pacino (Paterno)
  John Legend (Jesus Christ Superstar)
  Kyle MacLachlan (Twin Peaks)
  Jeff Daniels (The Looming Tower) — podcast
  Antonio Banderas (Genius: Picasso)

  MAJOR THREATS

  Jesse Plemons (Black Mirror: USS Callister) — podcast
  Michael B. Jordan (Fahrenheit 451) — podcast
  Matthew Macfadyen (Howards End)
  Benedict Cumberbatch (Patrick Melrose) — podcast
  Bill Pullman (The Sinner)
  Evan Peters (American Horror Story: Cult)
  Jack O'Connell (Godless)
  Jimmy Tatro (American Vandal)
  Taylor Kitsch (Waco)
  Michael Kelly (The Long Road Home)

  POSSIBILITIES

  Jared Harris (The Terror)
  Garrett Hedlund (Mosaic)
  Will Forte (A Futile and Stupid Gesture)
  Bryan Cranston (Philip K. Dick's Electric Dreams)
  Timothy Spall (Philip K. Dick's Electric Dreams)
  Greg Kinnear (Philip K. Dick's Electric Dreams)
  Terrence Howard (Philip K. Dick's Electric Dreams)

  LONG SHOTS

  Benedict Cumberbatch (The Child in Time) — podcast
  Daniel Bruhl (The Alienist)
  Michael Shannon (Waco) — podcast
  Kit Harington (Gunpowder)
  Kevin Kline (Present Laughter)
  Billy Crudup (Gypsy)

• Best Actress in a Limited Series or a Television Movie

  FRONTRUNNERS

  Jessica Biel (The Sinner)
  Hayley Atwell (Howards End) — podcast
  Laura Dern (The Tale)
  Elisabeth Moss (Top of the Lake: China Girl) — podcast
  Sarah Paulson (American Horror Story: Cult)
  Michelle Dockery (Godless)

  MAJOR THREATS

  Edie Falco (Law & Order True Crime: The Menendez Murders)
  Queen Latifah (Flint)
  Carey Mulligan (Collateral)
  Cristin Milioti (Black Mirror: USS Callister)
  Sharon Stone (Mosaic)
  Catherine Zeta-Jones (Cocaine Godmother)

  POSSIBILITIES

  Anna Paquin (Philip K. Dick's Electric Dreams)
  Kelly Macdonald (The Child in Time)
  Sarah Gadon (Alias Grace)
  Alana Boden (I Am Elizabeth Smart)
  Anna Deavere Smith (Notes from the Field)

  LONG SHOTS

  Maya Hawke (Little Women)
  Sofia Boutella (Fahrenheit 451)
  Carmen Ejogo (The Girlfriend Experience)
  Sarah Lancashire (National Treasure: Kiri)
  Ryann Shane (Story of a Girl)
  Naomi Watts (Gypsy)

• Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or a Television Movie

  FRONTRUNNERS

  Edgar Ramirez (The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story)
  Michael Shannon (Fahrenheit 451) — podcast
  Tahar Rahim (The Looming Tower)
  Peter Sarsgaard (The Looming Tower)
  Michael Stuhlbarg (The Looming Tower)
  Bill Camp (The Looming Tower)

  MAJOR THREATS

  Brandon Victor Dixon (Jesus Christ Superstar)
  Jeff Daniels (Godless) — podcast
  Ricky Martin (The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story)
  Sam Waterston (Godless)
  Robert Forster (Twin Peaks)
  Beau Bridges (Mosaic)
  Scoot McNairy (Godless)

  POSSIBILITIES

  Hugo Weaving (Patrick Melrose)
  Alice Cooper (Jesus Christ Superstar)
  Dylan Baker (Little Women)
  Alex Rich (Genius: Picasso)
  Luke Evans (The Alienist)
  Josh Charles (Law & Order True Crime: The Menendez Murders)
  John Leguizamo (Waco)
  Cody Fern (The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story)
  Jason Ritter (The Tale)

  LONG SHOTS

  Kevin Bacon (Story of a Girl)
  Ciarin Hinds (The Terror)
  Tobias Menzies (The Terror)
  Cheyenne Jackson (American Horror Story: Cult)
  Jimmi Simpson (Unsolved)
  Domhnall Gleeson (A Futile and Stupid Gesture)
  Joel McHale (A Futile and Stupid Gesture)
  Matt Walsh (A Futile and Stupid Gesture) — podcast
• Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or a Television Movie

  FRONTRUNNERS

  Laura Dern (Twin Peaks)
  Penelope Cruz (The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story)
  Nicole Kidman (Top of the Lake: China Girl) — podcast
  Angela Lansbury (Little Women)
  Judith Light (The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story)
  Merritt Wever (Godless)

  MAJOR THREATS

  Naomi Watts (Twin Peaks)
  Ellen Burstyn (The Tale)
  Riley Keough (Paterno)
  Sara Bareilles (Jesus Christ Superstar)
  Philippa Coulthard (Howards End)
  Tracey Ullman (Howards End)
  Julia Ormond (Howards End)

  POSSIBILITIES

  Jennifer Jason Leigh (Patrick Melrose)
  Emily Watson (Little Women)
  Kathryn Newton (Little Women)
  Anna Paquin (Alias Grace)
  Dakota Fanning (The Alienist)
  Alison Pill (American Horror Story: Cult)
  Billie Lourd (American Horror Story: Cult)

  LONG SHOTS

  Vera Farmiga (Philip K. Dick's Electric Dreams)
  Julianne Nicholson (Law & Order True Crime: The Menendez Murders)
  Kate Burton (Present Laughter)
  Julia Garner (Waco)
  Allison Tolman (Mosaic)
  Andrea Riseborough (Waco)