Feinberg Forecast: Emmys Standings the Day Before Final Voting Gets Underway

2:35 PM 8/14/2019

by Scott Feinberg

The Hollywood Reporter's awards columnist Scott Feinberg offers his assessment of 28 categories.

This is Us-Sterling K. Brown-Publicity Still-H 2019
Ron Batzdorff/NBC

This forecast reflects how The Hollywood Reporter's awards columnist Scott Feinberg believes the Emmy standings would look if voting ended today. These projections are formulated using a combination of personal impressions, historical considerations (how shows with similar pedigrees have resonated), precursor awards (some groups have historically correlated with the TV Academy more than others) and consultations with industry insiders (including voters, content creators, awards strategists and fellow members of the press).

  • Drama Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Game of Thrones (HBO)
    Killing Eve (BBC America)
    Succession (HBO)
    This Is Us (NBC)
    Better Call Saul
    (AMC)
    Ozark (Netflix)
    Pose (FX)
    Bodyguard (Netflix)

  • Comedy Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)
    Veep (HBO)
    Barry
    (HBO)
    Fleabag (Amazon)
    Russian Doll (Netflix)
    The Good Place (NBC)
    Schitt's Creek (Pop)

  • Limited Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    When They See Us (Netflix)
    Escape at Dannemora
     
    (Showtime)
    Chernobyl
    (HBO)
    Fosse/Verdon (FX)
    Sharp Objects (HBO)

  • Television Movie

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Black Mirror: Bandersnatch (Netflix)
    Deadwood: The Movie (HBO)
    Brexit: The Uncivil War (HBO)
    King Lear (Amazon)
    My Dinner With Herve (HBO)

  • Lead Actor in a Drama Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul) — podcast
    Billy Porter (Pose) — podcast
    Jason Bateman (Ozark) — podcast
    Sterling K. Brown (This Is Us) — podcast
    Kit Harington (Game of Thrones)
    Milo Ventimiglia (This Is Us) — podcast

  • Lead Actress in a Drama Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Sandra Oh (Killing Eve)
    Jodie Comer (Killing Eve)
    Robin Wright (House of Cards)
    Laura Linney (Ozark)
    Emilia Clarke (Game of Thrones) — podcast
    Mandy Moore (This Is Us) — podcast
    Viola Davis (How to Get Away With Murder)

  • Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Bill Hader (Barry)
    Michael Douglas (The Kominsky Method)
    Eugene Levy (Schitt's Creek) — podcast
    Don Cheadle (Black Monday)
    Ted Danson (The Good Place) — podcast
    Anthony Anderson (Black-ish)

  • Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Veep) — podcast
    Rachel Brosnahan (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) — podcast
    Phoebe Waller-Bridge (Fleabag) — podcast
    Catherine O'Hara (Schitt's Creek) — podcast
    Natasha Lyonne (Russian Doll)
    Christina Applegate (Dead to Me)

  • Lead Actor in a Limited Series or a Television Movie

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Jharrel Jerome (When They See Us)
    Sam Rockwell (Fosse/Verdon) — podcast
    Hugh Grant (A Very English Scandal) — podcast
    Benicio Del Toro (Escape at Dannemora) — podcast
    Jared Harris (Chernobyl)
    Mahershala Ali (True Detective) — podcast

  • Lead Actress in a Limited Series or a Television Movie

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Patricia Arquette (Escape at Dannemora)
    Michelle Williams (Fosse/Verdon)
    Amy Adams (Sharp Objects) — podcast
    Joey King (The Act)
    Niecy Nash (When They See Us)
    Aunjanue Ellis (When They See Us)

  • Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Peter Dinklage (Game of Thrones)
    Michael Kelly (House of Cards)
    Jonathan Banks (Better Call Saul)
    Giancarlo Esposito (Better Call Saul) — podcast
    Nikolaj Coster-Waldau (Game of Thrones)
    Alfie Allen (Game of Thrones)
    Chris Sullivan (This Is Us)

  • Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Julia Garner (Ozark)
    Fiona Shaw (Killing Eve)
    Maisie Williams (Game of Thrones)
    Lena Headey (Game of Thrones)
    Sophie Turner (Game of Thrones) — podcast
    Gwendoline Christie (Game of Thrones)

  • Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Henry Winkler (Barry) — podcast
    Tony Hale (Veep)
    Alan Arkin (The Kominsky Method)
    Tony Shalhoub (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)
    Stephen Root (Barry)
    Anthony Carrigan (Barry)

  • Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Alex Borstein (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)
    Kate McKinnon (Saturday Night Live)
    Sian Clifford (Fleabag)
    Anna Chlumsky (Veep)
    Sarah Goldberg (Barry)
    Marin Hinkle (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)
    Betty Gilpin (GLOW)
    Olivia Colman (Fleabag) — podcast

  • Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or a Television Movie

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Ben Whishaw (A Very English Scandal)
    Paul Dano (Escape At Dannemora) — podcast
    Stellan Skarsgård (Chernobyl)
    Asante Blackk (When They See Us)
    Michael K. Williams (When They See Us)
    John Leguizamo (When They See Us)

  • Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or a Television Movie

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Patricia Clarkson (Sharp Objects)
    Patricia Arquette (The Act)
    Margaret Qualley (Fosse/Verdon)
    Emily Watson (Chernobyl)
    Vera Farmiga (When They See Us)
    Marsha Stephanie Blake (When They See Us)

  • Guest Actor in a Drama Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Bradley Whitford (The Handmaid's Tale)
    Ron Cephas Jones (This Is Us)
    Michael McKean (Better Call Saul)
    Kumail Nanjiani (The Twilight Zone) — podcast
    Michael Angarano (This Is Us)
    Glynn Turman (How To Get Away With Murder)

  • Guest Actress in a Drama Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Phylicia Rashad (This Is Us)
    Jessica Lange (American Horror Story: Apocalypse)
    Cicely Tyson (How To Get Away With Murder)
    Laverne Cox (Orange Is The New Black) — podcast
    Carice van Houten (Game Of Thrones)
    Cherry Jones (The Handmaid's Tale)

  • Guest Actor in a Comedy Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Adam Sandler (Saturday Night Live)
    Peter MacNicol (Veep)
    Matt Damon (Saturday Night Live)
    Luke Kirby (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)
    Rufus Sewell (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)
    John Mulaney (Saturday Night Live)
    Robert De Niro (Saturday Night Live) — podcast

  • Guest Actress in a Comedy Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Kristin Scott Thomas (Fleabag)
    Jane Lynch (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)
    Maya Rudolph (The Good Place)
    Fiona Shaw (Fleabag)
    Sandra Oh (Saturday Night Live)
    Emma Thompson (Saturday Night Live)

  • Variety Talk Show

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO)
    The Late Show With Stephen Colbert (CBS) — podcast
    The Late Late Show With James Corden (CBS) — podcast
    Jimmy Kimmel Live! (ABC) — podcast
    The Daily Show With Trevor Noah (Comedy Central) — podcast
    Full Frontal With Samantha Bee (TBS) — podcast

  • Variety Sketch Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Saturday Night Live (NBC) — podcast (Lorne Michaels)
    Who Is America? (Showtime) — podcast (Sacha Baron Cohen)
    Documentary Now! (IFC)
    Drunk History (Comedy Central)
    At Home With Amy Sedaris (truTV)
    I Love You, America With Sarah Silverman (Hulu) — podcast (Sarah Silverman)

  • Reality Competition Program

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    RuPaul's Drag Race (VH1) — podcast (RuPaul Charles)
    The Voice (NBC)
    The Amazing Race (CBS)
    American Ninja Warrior (NBC)
    Nailed It (Netflix)
    Top Chef (Bravo)

  • Best Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Carpool Karaoke: When Corden Met McCartney Live From Liverpool (CBS) — podcast (James Corden)
    Hannah Gadsby: Nanette (Netflix)
    Homecoming: A Film by Beyonce (Netflix)
    Springsteen on Broadway (Netflix)
    Wanda Sykes: Not Normal (Netflix)

  • Best Variety Special (Live)

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Live in Front of a Studio Audience: Norman Lear's 'All in the Family' and 'The Jeffersons' (ABC) — podcast (Norman Lear)
    Rent: Live (Fox)
    The Oscars (ABC)
    72nd Annual Tony Awards (CBS)
    The 76th Annual Golden Globe Awards (NBC)
    The 61st Grammy Awards (CBS)

  • Best Documentary or Nonfiction Special

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Leaving Neverland (HBO)
    FYRE: The Greatest Party That Never Happened (Netflix)
    The Inventor: Out for Blood in Silicon Valley (HBO)
    Love, Gilda (CNN)
    Minding the Gap (Hulu)

  • Best Documentary or Nonfiction Series

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Our Planet (Netflix)
    Hostile Planet (National Geographic)
    Chef's Table (Netflix)
    30 for 30 (ESPN)
    American Masters (PBS)

  • Best Informational Series or Special

    PROJECTED STANDINGS

    Anthony Bourdain Parts Unknown (CNN)
    Surviving R. Kelly (Lifetime)
    Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee (Netflix) — podcast (Jerry Seinfeld)
    My Next Guest Needs No Introduction with David Letterman (Netflix) — podcast (David Letterman)
    Leah Remini: Scientology and the Aftermath (A&E)