The Hollywood Reporter's awards columnist Scott Feinberg updates his take on all 24 categories.

These projections, which will be updated weekly, reflect Scott Feinberg's latest impressions (from screenings), publicly available information (release dates, genres, talent rosters and teasers/trailers often offer valuable clues), historical considerations (how other films with similar pedigrees have resonated), precursor awards (some awards groups have historically correlated with the Academy more than others) and consultations with industry insiders (including fellow members of the press, awards strategists, filmmakers and awards voters).

• Motion Picture

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  1917 (Universal), Sam Mendes, Pippa Harris, Jayne-Ann Tenggren and Callum McDougall
  Parasite (Neon), Kwak Sin-ae and Bong Joon Ho
  Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Sony), David Heyman, Shannon McIntosh and Quentin Tarantino
  Jojo Rabbit (Fox Searchlight), Carthew Neal and Taika Waititi
  The Irishman (Netflix), Martin Scorsese, Robert De Niro, Jane Rosenthal and Emma Tillinger Koskoff
  Joker (Warner Bros.), Todd Phillips, Bradley Cooper and Emma Tillinger Koskoff
  Marriage Story (Netflix), Noah Baumbach and David Heyman
  Ford v Ferrari (Fox), Peter Chernin, Jenno Topping and James Mangold
  Little Women (Sony), Amy Pascal

• Director

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Bong Joon Ho, Parasite
  Sam Mendes, 1917
  Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
  Todd Phillips, Joker

• Actor

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
  Adam Driver, Marriage Story
  Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
  Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes
  Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
• Actress

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Renée Zellweger, Judy
  Charlize Theron, Bombshell
  Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
  Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
  Saoirse Ronan, Little Women

• Actor in a Supporting Role

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
  Al Pacino, The Irishman
  Joe Pesci, The Irishman
  Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes

• Actress in a Supporting Role

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Laura Dern, Marriage Story
  Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
  Florence Pugh, Little Women
  Margot Robbie, Bombshell
  Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
  
• Adapted Screenplay

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Jojo Rabbit, Taika Waititi
  The Irishman, Steven Zaillian
  Little Women, Greta Gerwig
  Joker, Todd Phillips and Scott Silver
  The Two Popes, Anthony McCarten

• Original Screenplay

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Parasite, Bong Joon Ho and Han Jin-won
  Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Quentin Tarantino
  1917, Sam Mendes and Krysty Wilson-Cairns
  Marriage Story, Noah Baumbach
  Knives Out, Rian Johnson

• Animated Feature

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Toy Story 4 (Pixar), Josh Cooley, Mark Nielsen and Jonas Rivera
  How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (Dreamworks), Dean DeBlois, Bradford Lewis and Bonnie Arnold
  I Lost My Body (Netflix), Jérémy Clapin and Marc du Pontavice
  Missing Link (United Artists Releasing), Chris Butler, Arianne Sutner and Travis Knight
  Klaus (Netflix), Sergio Pablos, Jinko Gotoh and Marisa Román
• Documentary Feature

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  American Factory (Netflix), Steven Bognar, Julia Reichert and Jeff Reichert
  Honeyland (Neon), Ljubo Stefanov, Tamara Kotevska and Atanas Georgiev
  For Sama (PBS), Waad al-Kateab and Edward Watts
  The Cave (National Geographic), Feras Fayyad, Kirstine Barfod and Sigrid Dyekjaer
  The Edge of Democracy (Netflix), Petra Costa, Joanna Natasegara, Shane Boris and Tiago Pavan

• International Feature

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Parasite (South Korea)
  Pain and Glory (Spain)
  Les Misérables (France)
  Corpus Christi (Poland)
  Honeyland (North Macedonia)

• Cinematography

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  1917, Roger Deakins
  Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Robert Richardson
  The Irishman, Rodrigo Prieto
  Joker, Lawrence Sher
  The Lighthouse, Jarin Blaschke
• Costume Design

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Little Women, Jacqueline Durran
  The Irishman, Sandy Powell and Christopher Peterson
  Jojo Rabbit, Mayes C. Rubeo
  Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Arianne Phillips
  Joker, Mark Bridges

• Film Editing

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Ford v Ferrari, Andrew Buckland and Michael McCusker
  The Irishman, Thelma Schoonmaker
  Parasite, Yang Jin-mo
  Jojo Rabbit, Tom Eagles
  Joker, Jeff Groth

• Makeup and Hairstyling

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Bombshell, Kazu Hiro, Anne Morgan and Vivian Baker
  1917, Naomi Donne, Tristan Versluis and Rebecca Cole
  Joker, Nicki Ledermann and Kay Georgiou
  Judy, Jeremy Woodhead
  Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, Paul Gooch, Arjen Tuiten and David White
• Original Score

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  1917, Thomas Newman
  Joker, Hildur Gudnadóttir
  Marriage Story, Randy Newman
  Little Women, Alexandre Desplat
  Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, John Williams

• Original Song

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  "(I'm Gonna) Love Me Again," Rocketman, music by Elton John; lyrics by Bernie Taupin
  "Stand Up," Harriet, music and lyrics by Joshuah Brian Campbell and Cynthia Erivo
  "Into the Unknown," Frozen II, music and lyrics by Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez
  "I Can't Let You Throw Yourself Away," Toy Story 4, music and lyrics by Randy Newman
  "I'm Standing With You," Breakthrough, music and lyrics by Diane Warren

• Production Design

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, production design: Barbara Ling; set decoration: Nancy Haigh
  1917, production design: Dennis Gassner; set decoration: Lee Sandales
  Parasite, production design: Lee Ha-jun; set decoration: Cho Won-woo
  The Irishman, production design: Bob Shaw; set decoration: Regina Graves
  Jojo Rabbit, production design: Ra Vincent; set decoration: Nora Sopková
• Sound Editing

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  1917, Oliver Tarney and Rachael Tate
  Ford v Ferrari, Donald Sylvester
  Joker, Alan Robert Murray
  Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Wylie Stateman
  Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, Matthew Wood and David Acord

• Sound Mixing

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  1917, Mark Taylor and Stuart Wilson
  Ford v Ferrari, Paul Massey, David Giammarco and Steven A. Morrow
  Joker, Tom Ozanich, Dean Zupancic and Tod Maitland
  Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Michael Minkler, Christian P. Minkler and Mark Ulano
  Ad Astra, Gary Rydstrom, Tom Johnson and Mark Ulanobr

• Visual Effects

  

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  The Irishman, Pablo Helman, Leandro Estebecorena, Nelson Sepulveda-Fauser and Stephane Grabli
  1917, Guillaume Rocheron, Greg Butler and Dominic Tuohy
  Avengers: Endgame, Dan DeLeeuw, Russell Earl, Matt Aitken and Dan Sudick
  The Lion King, Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones and Elliot Newman
  Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, Roger Guyett, Neal Scanlan, Patrick Tubach and Dominic Tuohy
• Animated Short Film

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Hair Love, Matthew A. Cherry and Karen Rupert Toliver
  Kitbull, Rosana Sullivan and Kathryn Hendrickson
  Sister, Siqi Song
  Dcera (Daughter), Daria Kashcheeva
  Memorable, Bruno Collet and Jean-François Le Corree

• Documentary Short Subject

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You're a Girl), Carol Dysinger and Elena Andreicheva
  Life Overtakes Me, John Haptas and Kristine Samuelson
  St. Louis Superman, Smriti Mundhra and Sami Khan
  Walk Run Cha-Cha, Laura Nix and Colette Sandstedt
  In the Absence, Yi Seung-jun and Gary Byung-seok Kam
  

• Live Action Short Film

  PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

  Brotherhood, Meryam Joobeur and Maria Gracia Turgeon
  The Neighbors' Window, Marshall Curry
  A Sister, Delphine Girard
  Nefta Football Club, Yves Piat and Damien Megherbi
  Siria, Bryan Buckley and Matt Lefebvre