Feinberg Forecast: The Oscars Landscape Ahead of AFI Fest's Kickoff

12:55 PM 11/11/2019

by Scott Feinberg

This week's chart updates the awards landscape after the Hollywood Film Awards, European Film Awards noms, British Independent Film Awards noms, Cinema Eye Honors noms, DOC NYC, Critics' Choice Documentary Awards and American Cinematheque Award.

'Jojo Rabbit'
'Jojo Rabbit'
Courtesy of Fox Searchlight Pictures

These projections, which will be updated regularly, reflect Scott Feinberg's latest impressions (from screenings), publicly available information (release dates, genres, talent rosters and teasers/trailers often offer valuable clues), historical considerations (how other films with similar pedigrees have resonated), precursor awards (some awards groups have historically correlated with the Academy more than others) and consultations with industry insiders (including fellow members of the press, awards strategists, filmmakers and awards voters). Note: The Academy is free to classify performers as lead or supporting, regardless of how they are campaigned. These charts reflect Scott's best guess of what they will do in that regard.