These projections are a reflection of Scott Feinberg's personal impressions (from advance screenings), publicly available information (release dates, genres, talent rosters and teasers/trailers often offer valuable clues), historical considerations (how other films with similar pedigrees have resonated), precursor awards (some awards groups have historically correlated with the Academy more than others) and consultations with industry insiders (including fellow members of the press, awards strategists, filmmakers and awards voters).
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Best Picture
Image Credit: Courtesy of Paramount Pictures PROJECTED STANDINGS
La La Land (Lionsgate)
Moonlight (A24)
Hidden Figures (Fox)
Manchester by the Sea (Amazon/Roadside Attractions)
Lion (The Weinstein Co.)
Hell or High Water (CBS Films/Lionsgate)
Arrival (Paramount)
Hacksaw Ridge (Lionsgate)
Fences (Paramount) -
Best Director
Image Credit: Courtesy of Cosmos Filmed Entertainment PROJECTED STANDINGS
Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)
Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea)
Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge)
Denis Villeneueve (Arrival) -
Best Actor
Image Credit: Courtesy of Cannes Film Festival PROJECTED STANDINGS
Denzel Washington (Fences) — podcast
Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea) — podcast
Ryan Gosling (La La Land)
Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge) — podcast
Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic) — podcast -
Best Actress
Image Credit: Guy Ferrandis/SBS Productions, Courtesy of Sony Pictures Classics PROJECTED STANDINGS
Emma Stone (La La Land) — podcast
Isabelle Huppert (Elle)
Natalie Portman (Jackie) — podcast
Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins) — podcast
Ruth Negga (Loving) — podcast -
Best Supporting Actor
Image Credit: Claire Folger/Roadside Attractions PROJECTED STANDINGS
Mahershala Ali (Moonlight) — podcast
Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water) — podcast
Dev Patel (Lion) [pictured above] — podcast
Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea)
Michael Shannon (Nocturnal Animals) — podcast -
Best Supporting Actress
Image Credit: Courtesy of Hopper Stone PROJECTED STANDINGS
Viola Davis (Fences)
Naomie Harris (Moonlight) — podcast
Nicole Kidman (Lion) — podcast
Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures) -
Best Adapted Screenplay
Image Credit: Courtesy of Paramount Pictures PROJECTED STANDINGS
Moonlight (Barry Jenkins)
Hidden Figures (Allison Schroeder, Theodore Melfi)
Lion (Luke Davies)
Fences (August Wilson)
Arrival (Eric Heisserer) -
Best Original Screenplay
Image Credit: Courtesy of Lorey Sebastian/CBS Films PROJECTED STANDINGS
Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan)
La La Land (Damien Chazelle)
Hell or High Water (Taylor Sheridan)
The Lobster (Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthymis Filippou)
20th Century Women (Mike Mills) -
Best Animated Feature
Image Credit: Courtesy of Disney PROJECTED STANDINGS
Zootopia (Disney)
Moana (Disney)
Kubo and the Two Strings (Focus Features)
The Red Turtle (Sony Classics)
My Life As a Zucchini (GKIDS) -
Best Documentary Feature
Image Credit: Courtesy of TIFF PROJECTED STANDINGS
O.J.: Made in America (ESPN)
I Am Not Your Negro (Magnolia)
13th (Netflix)
Life, Animated (The Orchard)
Fire at Sea (Kino Lorber) -
Best Foreign Language Film
PROJECTED STANDINGS
The Salesman (Iran)
Toni Erdmann (Germany)
A Man Called Ove (Sweden)
Land of Mine (Denmark)
Tanna (Australia) -
Best Cinematography
Image Credit: Courtesy of A24 PROJECTED STANDINGS
La La Land (Linus Sandgren)
Lion (Grieg Fraser)
Moonlight (James Laxton)
Arrival (Bradford Young)
Silence (Rodrigo Prieto) -
Best Costume Design
Image Credit: Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc. PROJECTED STANDINGS
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (Colleen Atwood)
Jackie (Madeline Fontaine)
La La Land (Mary Zophres)
Florence Foster Jenkins (Consolata Boyle)
Allied (Joanna Johnston) -
Best Film Editing
Image Credit: Mark Rogers/Summit Entertainment PROJECTED STANDINGS
La La Land (Tom Cross)
Moonlight (Joi McMillon, Nat Sanders)
Hacksaw Ridge (John Gilbert)
Arrival (Joe Walker)
Hell or High Water (Jake Roberts) -
Best Makeup & Hairstyling
Image Credit: Kimberley French/Paramount PROJECTED STANDINGS
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Best Original Score
Image Credit: Courtesy of Bruno Calvo/Twentieth Century Fox Film PROJECTED STANDINGS
La La Land (Justin Hurwitz)
Lion (Dustin O'Halloran, Hauschka)
Moonlight (Nicholas Britell)
Passengers (Thomas Newman)
Jackie (Mica Levi) -
Best Original Song
Image Credit: AP Images PROJECTED STANDINGS
"City of Stars" (La La Land), Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek and Justin Paul
"Can’t Stop the Feeling!" (Trolls), Justin Timberlake, Max Martin and Shellback — podcast (Timberlake)
"How Far I'll Go" (Moana), Lin-Manuel Miranda — podcast
"Audition" (La La Land), Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek and Justin Paul
"The Empty Chair" (Jim: The James Foley Story), Sting and J. Ralph — podcast (Sting) & podcast (J. Ralph) -
Best Production Design
Image Credit: Courtesy of Columbia Pictures PROJECTED STANDINGS
La La Land (Sandy Reynolds-Wasco, David Wasco)
Arrival (Patrice Vermette)
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (Stuart Craig)
Passengers (Guy Hendrix Dyas, Gene Serdena)
Hail, Caesar! (Jess Gonchor, Nancy Haigh) -
Best Sound Editing
Image Credit: David Lee/Summit Entertainment PROJECTED STANDINGS
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Best Sound Mixing
Image Credit: Jonathan Olley/Lucasfilm PROJECTED STANDINGS
La La Land
Hacksaw Ridge
Arrival
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi -
Best Visual Effects
Image Credit: Courtesy of John Leonhardt/Laika Studios/Focus Features PROJECTED NOMINEES
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
The Jungle Book
Doctor Strange
Deepwater Horizon
Kubo and the Two Strings -
Best Animated Short
Image Credit: Courtesy of Pixar PROJECTED NOMINEES
Piper
Pearl
Borrowed Time
Blind Vaysha
Pear Cider and Cigarettes -
Best Documentary Short
Image Credit: Courtesy of Netflix PROJECTED STANDINGS
The White Helmets (Grain Media and Violet Films)
Joe’s Violin (Lucky Two Productions)
Extremis (f/8 Filmworks in association with Motto Pictures)
4.1 Miles (University of California, Berkeley)
Watani: My Homeland (ITN Productions) -
Best Live Action Short
Image Credit: Courtesy of SND Films PROJECTED STANDINGS
La Femme et le TGV
Sing
Timecode
Ennemis Interieurs
Silent Nights
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