Oscars 2017 Predictions: Way-Too-Early Best Picture Picks

5:00 AM 2/29/2016

by Matthew Belloni

Sundance breakout 'Birth of a Nation,' Ang Lee's first film since winning best director and an adaptation of best-seller 'Girl on a Train' might take center stage this time next year.

The Birth of a Nation still 1 - H 2016
Courtesy of Sundance Institute

  • Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk

    Ang Lee's first film since winning best director for 2012's Life of Pi is a war dramedy that, like Pi, stars a newcomer (Joe Alwyn).

  • The Birth of a Nation

    Sundance raves and a $17.5 million price tag have put big expectations on Nate Parker's drama about the slave uprising led by Nat Turner.

  • The Girl on the Train

    If done well, Tate Taylor's adaptation of the smash book starring Emily Blunt could be as much of an awards player as his best picture nominee The Help was in 2012.

  • Lion

    Harvey's big Oscar play could be this drama from The King's Speech producers about an Indian kid (Dev Patel) who searches for his parents after being adopted by an Australian couple. Nicole Kidman and Rooney Mara also star.

  • Manchester by the Sea

    Casey Affleck's lauded perfor­mance could push Kenneth Lonergan's New England-set family drama, a hit at Sundance, into the best picture race.

  • Passengers

    Morten Tyldum, fresh from The Imitation Game, directs Oscar magnet Jennifer Lawrence and "It" boy Chris Pratt in a space-set romance that features nearly no other actors. Can he pull it off?

  • Silence

    Martin Scorsese's Wolf of Wall Street follow-up is this long- gestating film about 17th century priests who travel to Japan to locate a mentor. Andrew Garfield and Adam Driver star.

  • Weightless

    This Texas-set romantic thriller is said to be the splashier of 2016's two Terrence Malick films (along with Knight of Cups) featuring Christian Bale and Natalie Portman.