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Just before the PGA and Oscar noms, critic Christy Lemire and an experts’ panel predict a Social Network win — plus, Tom O’Neil shares Bob Weinstein‘s Oscar Voter Sheep Theory.
At Saturday’s Hollywood Museum Oscar debate, AP’s Christy Lemire, who injects new blood to the movie review show Roger Ebert Presents, told me and Pete Hammond, who switched our best picture predictions from The King’s Speech to The Social Network, that we were right, and the Facebook movie’s victory is likely thanks to new young blood in the Academy.
“It’s sexy and it moves so fluidly and it’s like the best of what David Fincher and Aaron Sorkin do simultaneously. And I would argue that it’s like Network.”
“Which lost best picture,” O’Neil objected.
“But it was in there!” She rejects the theory that King’s Speech will win because it’s more “huggable”: “No Country for Old Men is not huggable, it’s not a happy feel-good movie in any way, and it won, what, four Oscars?”
Because the debate happened the day before the PGA put a pie in our eyes with its upset vote for King’s Speech, O’Neil posed the question of why everyone was voting the same way. Oscar voters are bullheaded, so “why are they such sheep?” O’Neil quoted what Oscar campaign legend Cynthia Swartz told him: “I didn’t understand it either, until Bob Weinstein, Harvey’s brother, gave me the answer, and the answer is, ‘Everybody wants to be on the winning team.’ “
“Hence Lakers fans,” quipped Lemire.
Follow THR‘s The Race Awards blog @timappelo.
Feedback, brickbats, shameless lobbying to: Tim.Appelo@thr.com.
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