New Oscar Predictions: ‘King’s Speech,’ David Fincher, ‘Inception,’ ‘Inside Job’

THR‘s Oscar Nostradamus respectably guesses 31 out of 35 Oscar noms, and reveals who’s going to win now. And why The King’s Speech is ahead again (by a nose).

In the Gold Derby pundit’s poll, I was outguessed by Steve Pond and Susan Wloszczyna, and outguessed 15 other pundits who may be smarter, but I’m luckier. Hoping that my luck improves, I present my new predictions, here, on Gold Derby, and Movie City News’ post-Oscar nom Gurus o’Gold poll, whose consensus mostly matches my picks. Best picture nominees are ranked in order of the likelihood that they’ll win. For the other prizes, I just include my best guess at the winner.

BEST PICTURE
1. The King’s Speech
2. The Social Network
3. True Grit
4. The Fighter
5. Black Swan
6. The Kids Are All Right
7. Toy Story 3
8. Inception
9. 127 Hours
10. Winter’s Bone

BEST DIRECTOR: David Fincher, The Social Network

BEST ACTOR: Colin Firth, The King’s Speech

BEST ACTRESS: Natalie Portman, Black Swan

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Christian Bale, The Fighter

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Melissa Leo, The Fighter

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Toy Story 3

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: David Seidler, The King’s Speech

BEST ART DIRECTION: Alice in Wonderland

BEST COSTUME DESIGN: Alice in Wonderland

BEST DOCUMENTARY: Inside Job

BEST FILM EDITING: The Social Network

BEST FOREIGN FILM: Biutiful (Mexico)

BEST ORIGINAL MUSIC SCORE: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, The Social Network

BEST SONG: “We Belong Together” from Toy Story 3

BEST SOUND EDITING: Inception

BEST SOUND MIXING: Inception

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: Inception

BEST MAKEUP: The Wolfman, whose director Joe Johnston described the film as “a leaky, rudderless ship in a perfect storm suffering from bad decisions, infighting, reluctance of the powers-that-be to take responsibility, and too many underqualified cooks in the kitchen.” But as Warren Zevon observed, prophesying the tonsorial glory of star Benicio del Toro, “His hair … was perfect.”

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