Feinberg Forecast

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THR.com awards expert Scott Feinberg charts who's up and who's down this week.

UP: Martin Scorsese, Hugo

The director's first 3D outing, a kids' adventure that also pays homage to the early days of movies, has screened for the media, the DGA and the Academy. The Paramount release drew hearty praise from viewers as diverse as Paul Thomas Anderson and Slash.

UP: Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn

The 31-year-old is headed for her third Oscar nom, and perhaps her first win, for her eerie portrayal of Marilyn Monroe. Don Murray, who starred with Monroe in Bus Stop (1956), calls her performance "a revelation" that "made me appreciate Marilyn more."

DOWN: Keira Knightley, A Dangerous Method

Sony Classics has decided to push the British A-lister, who plays a woman suffering from hysteria, in the packed lead actress category for her performance -- which has divided critics and audiences -- rather than in the wide-open supporting category.

UP: Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar

While the early response to Clint Eastwood's study of the famed FBI founder and director has been decidedly mixed, nearly everyone has had good things to say about DiCaprio's turn, during which he ages convincingly from 24 to 77.

UP: Judy Greer, The Descendants

Although she has only a few minutes of screen time, her distraught scene near the film's end is winning over audiences and could help Greer join Shailene Woodley, who plays George Clooney's older daughter, in the supporting actress category.

DOWN: Paddy Considine, Tyrannosaur

The actor-turned-director's dark drama has impressed a lot of pundits but not enough to motivate Strand Releasing to give it an awards push. It was left to a supportive blogger, Jeff Wells, to solicit his readers for the funds to conduct media screenings.