Jennifer Lawrence American Hustle Set - H 2014
Courtesy of SonyBetween now and the 86th Oscars on March 2, 2014, The Hollywood Reporter‘s lead awards analyst, Scott Feinberg, will post only one additional “Feinberg Forecast,” which will reflect his final projections in all 24 categories. For more about Feinberg and how he arrives at his picks, as well as a key to the acronyms that appear in this post, scroll to the bottom of this page.
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BEST PICTURE
Nominees
1. 12 Years a Slave (Fox Searchlight, 10/18, R, trailer)
PGA, BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA, AFI, BSFC, TIFF, SAG, DGA, ACE, ADG, ASC, MPSE, IFP, FI, CDG
2. Gravity (Warner Bros., 10/4, PG-13, trailer)
DGA, PGA, ADG, ASC, MPSE, VES, AFI, LAFCA (tie), BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA, ACE, CAS
3. American Hustle (Sony, 12/13, TBA, trailer)
SAG, ACE, AFI, NYFCC, DGA, PGA, WGA, BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA, ADG, MPSE, CDG
4. The Wolf of Wall Street (Paramount, 12/25, R, trailer)
AFI, DGA, PGA, WGA, HFPA, BFCA, ACE, ADG
5. Philomena (The Weinstein Co., TBA, TBA, trailer)
BAFTA, HFPA, FI, CDG
6. Captain Phillips (Sony, 10/11, PG-13, trailer)
WGA, ACE, MPSE, AFI, DGA, PGA, BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA, ADG, ASC, VES, CAS
7. Nebraska (Paramount, 11/22, R, trailer)
AFI, PGA, WGA, HFPA, BFCA, ACE, ASC, FI, CDG
8. Dallas Buyers Club (Focus Features, 11/1, R, trailer)
SAG, PGA, WGA, BFCA, CDG
9. Her (Warner Bros., 12/18, TBA, trailer)
WGA, ADG, AFI, NBR, LAFCA (tie), PGA, HFPA, BFCA, ACE, MPSE, CDG
BEST DIRECTOR
Nominees
1. Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity) DGA, BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA, LAFCA, NYFCO
2. Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave) NYFCC, BSFC, DGA, BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA, FI
3. David O. Russell (American Hustle) DGA, BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA
4. Martin Scorsese (The Wolf of Wall Street) DGA, BAFTA, BFCA
5. Alexander Payne (Nebraska) HFPA, FI
BEST LEADING ACTOR
Nominees
1. Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club) SAG, HFPA, BFCA, IFP, HFA, FI
2. Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave) BAFTA, BSFC, NYFCO, SAG, HFPA, BFCA, IFP, FI
3. Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Street) HFPA, BAFTA
4. Bruce Dern (Nebraska) NBR, LAFCA, CAN, SAG, BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA, FI
5. Christian Bale (American Hustle) BAFTA, HFPA, BFCAPHOTOS: PHO
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BEST LEADING ACTRESS
Nominees
1. Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine) SAG, BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA, LAFCA (tie), NYFCC, NSFC, BSFC, NYFCO, IFP, FI
2. Judi Dench (Philomena) SAG, BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA
3. Amy Adams (American Hustle) HFPA, SAG, BAFTA
4. Sandra Bullock (Gravity) HFA, SAG, BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA
5. Meryl Streep (August: Osage County) SAG, HFPA, BFCA
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Nominees
1. Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club) SAG, HFPA, BFCA, LAFCA (tie), NYFCC, NYFCO, FI
2. Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave) SAG, BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA, FI
3. Bradley Cooper (American Hustle) BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA
4. Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips) BAFTA, SAG, HFPA, BFCA
5. Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Nominees
1. Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle) BAFTA, HFPA, NYFCC, NSFC, SAG, BFCA
2. Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years a Slave) SAG, BFCA, LAFCA, NYFCO, BAFTA, HFPA, FI
3. June Squibb (Nebraska) BSFC, SAG, BAFTA, BFCA, HFPA, FI
4. Julia Roberts (August: Osage County) HFA, SAG, BAFTA, BFCA, HFPA
5. Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine) HFPA, BAFTA, FI
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Nominees
1. 12 Years a Slave (John Ridley) BFCA, USC, SC, BAFTA, HFPA, FI
2. Philomena (Steve Coogan, Jeff Pope) BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA, USC
3. The Wolf of Wall Street (Terence Winter) NBR, WGA, BAFTA, BFCA, SC
4. Captain Phillips (Billy Ray) WGA, BAFTA, BFCA, USC, SC
5. Before Midnight (Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke, Richard Linklater) LAFCA, NSFC, HFA, WGA, BFCA, SC, FI
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Nominees
1. American Hustle (David O. Russell, Eric Singer) BAFTA, NYFCC, WGA, HFPA, BFCA, SC
2. Her (Spike Jonze) WGA, BFCA, HFPA, NYFCO, SC
3. Blue Jasmine (Woody Allen) WGA, BAFTA, BFCA, SC, FI
4. Nebraska (Bob Nelson) WGA, BAFTA, HFPA, BFCA, SC
5. Dallas Buyers Club (Craig Borten, Melisa Wallack) WGA
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BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Nominees
1. Frozen (Disney, 11/27, G, trailer) IAFS, BAFTA, PGA, BFCA, HFPA, ACE, VES, MPSE
2. The Croods (DreamWorks Animation, 3/22, PG, trailer) IAFS, PGA, HFPA, BFCA, ACE, MPSE, VES
3. The Wind Rises (Studio Ghibili, 11/8, PG-13, trailer) NBR, NYFCC, BSFC, NYFCO, IAFS, BFCA
4. Despicable Me 2 (Universal, 7/3, PG, trailer) IAFS, BAFTA, PGA, HFPA, BFCA, ACE, MPSE, VES
5. Ernest & Celestine (GKIDS, TBA, TBA, trailer) LAFCA, IAFS, MPSE
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Nominees
1. 20 Feet From Stardom (RADiUS, 6/14, PG-13, trailer) BFCA, ACE, MPSE, FI
2. The Square (Noujaim Films/Netflix Originals/Participant, 10/25, NR, TBA) DGA, IDA, FI
3. The Act of Killing (Drafthouse Films, 7/19, NR, trailer) BAFTA, CEH, IFP, NSFC, EFA, NYFCO, BSFC, DGA, BFCA, IDA, FI
4. Cutie and the Boxer (RADiUS, 8/16, R, trailer) DGA, IDA, CEH
5. Dirty Wars (IFC Films, 6/7, NR, trailer) MPSE, WGA
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Nominees
1. Italy (The Great Beauty) BAFTA, HFPA, EFA, BFCA, FI
2. Denmark (The Hunt) HFPA, BFCA, FI
3. Palestine (Omar)
4. Belgium (The Broken Circle Breakdown)
5. Cambodia (The Missing Picture)
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Nominees
1. Gravity (Emmanuel Lubezki) ASC, BAFTA, BFCA, LAFCA, BSFC, BFCA, IPA
2. Nebraska (Phedon Papamichael) ASC, BAFTA, BFCA
3. Inside Llewyn Davis (Bruno Delbonnel) NYFCC, NSFC, BAFTA, BFCA, ASC, FI, IPA
3. Prisoners (Roger Deakins) ASC, BFCA, IPA
5. The Grandmaster (Philippe Le Sourd) ASC
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Nominees
1. American Hustle (Michael Wilkinson) BAFTA, BFCA, CDG
2. The Great Gatsby (Catherine Martin) BAFTA, BFCA, CDG
3. 12 Years a Slave (Patricia Norris) BAFTA, BFCA, CDG
4. The Invisible Woman (Michael O’Connor) BAFTA
5. The Grandmaster (William Chang Suk Ping)
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BEST FILM EDITING
Nominees
1. Captain Phillips (Christopher Rouse) BAFTA, BFCA, ACE
2. Gravity (Alfonso Cuaron, Mark Sanger) BFCA, LAFCA, BAFTA, ACE,, IPA
3. 12 Years a Slave (Joe Walker) BAFTA, BFCA, ACE, IPA
4. American Hustle (Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers) BFCA, ACE, IPA
5. Dallas Buyers Club (John Mac McMurphy [Jean-Marc Vallee], Martin Pensa)
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Nominees
1. Dallas Buyers Club (Adruitha Lee, Robin Mathews) MUHS
2. Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa (Stephen Prouty) MUHS
3. The Lone Ranger (Joel Harlow, Gloria Pasqua-Casny) MUHS
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Nominees
1. Gravity (Steven Price) BAFTA, BFCA, HFPA
2. Philomena (Alexandre Desplat)
3. Saving Mr. Banks (Thomas Newman) BAFTA, BFCA
4. The Book Thief (John Williams) BAFTA, HFPA
5. Her (William Butler, Owen Pallett)
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BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Nominees
1. “Let It Go” from Frozen (Kristen Anderson-Lopez, Robert Lopez) HFPA, BFCA
2. “Ordinary Love” from Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom (U2) HFPA, BFCA
3. “Happy” from Despicable Me 2 (Pharrell Williams) BFCA
4. “The Moon Song” from Her (Karen O, Spike Jonze)
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Nominees
1. The Great Gatsby (Beverly Dunn, Catherine Martin) ADG, BAFTA, BFCA, IPA
2. Gravity (Rosie Goodwin, Andy Nicholson) ADG, BAFTA, BFCA
3. 12 Years a Slave (Alice Baker, Adam Stockhausen) ADG, BAFTA, BFCA
4. Her (K.K. Barrett, Gene Serdena) ADG, LAFCA, BFCA
5. American Hustle (Judy Becker, Heather Loeffler) ADG
BEST SOUND EDITING
Nominees
1. Gravity (Glenn Freemantle) MPSE, BAFTA
2. Captain Phillips (Oliver Tarney) MPSE, BAFTA
3. Lone Survivor (Wylie Stateman) MPSE
4. All Is Lost (Steve Boeddeker, Richard Hymns) BAFTA, MPSE
5. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (Brent Burge) MPSE
BEST SOUND MIXING
Nominees
1. Gravity (Niv Adiri, Christopher Benstead, Skip Lievsay, Chris Munro) BAFTA, CAS
2. Captain Phillips (Chris Burdon, Chris Munro, Mike Prestwood Smith, Mark Taylor) BAFTA, CAS
3. Lone Survivor (Beau Borders, David Brownlow, Andy Koyama) CAS
4. Inside Llewyn Davis (Peter F. Kurland, Skip Lievsay, Greg Orloff) BAFTA, CAS
5. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Tony Johnson, Michael Semanick)
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Nominees
1. Gravity (Neil Corbould, Chris Lawrence, Dave Shirk, Tim Webber) VES, BAFTA, BFCA
2. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (David Clayton, Joe Letteri, Eric Reynolds, Eric Saindon) VES, BAFTA, BFCA
3. Iron Man 3 (Erik Nash, Dan Sudick, Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams) VES, BAFTA, BFCA
4. Star Trek Into Darkness (Burt Dalton, Ben Grossman, Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach) VES, BAFTA, BFCA
5. The Lone Ranger (Tim Alexander, Gary Brozenich, John Frazier, Edson Williams)
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BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Nominees
1. The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life (Malcolm Clarke, Nicholas Reed)
2. Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall (Edgar Barens)
3. Facing Fear (Jason Cohen)
4. Karama Has No Walls (Sara Ishaq)
5. CaveDigger (Jeffrey Karoff)
The best animated short and best live-action short categories will be added… shortly!
About the Feinberg Forecast
Scott has been forecasting the Oscars since 2001 and has one of the strongest track records of all awards pundits at doing so. His best showings came in 2006 and 2013, when he correctly called 21 out of 24 winners. He was the only pundit to project best picture nominations for The Reader (2008), The Blind Side (2009) and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (2011) and acting noms for Silver Linings Playbook‘s Jacki Weaver (2012) and The Wolf of Wall Street‘s Jonah Hill (2013), among other long shots.
He factors into his projections personal impressions (based on advance screenings of hundreds of films each year), publicly available information (release dates, genres, talent rosters and teasers/trailers often offer valuable clues), historical considerations (comparing and contrasting how other films with similar pedigrees have resonated), precursor awards (some awards groups have historically correlated with the Academy more than others), and conversations with industry insiders (including fellow members of the press, awards strategists, filmmakers and awards voters).
Key
Contenders’ names are followed, when appropriate, by acronyms of the major awards groups (see below) that have already named them winners (in orange) or nominees (in purple). Some nominations are still pending (they appear in italics).
ACE = 64th Eddie Awards
ADG = 18th Art Directors Guild Awards
AFI = 14th American Film Institute Awards
ASC = 28th American Society of Cinematographers Awards
BAFTA = 67th British Academy Film Awards
BFCA = 19th Critics’ Choice Movie Awards
BSFC = 34th Boston Society of Film Critics Awards
BIFA = 16th British Independent Film Awards
CAN = 66th Cannes Film Festival
CAS = 50th Cinema Audio Society Awards
CDG = 16th Costume Design Guild Awards
CEH = 7th Cinema Eye Honors
DCAC = 12th D.C. Area Film Critics Awards
DGA = 66th Directors Guild of America Awards
EFA = 26th European Film Awards
FI = 29th Independent Spirit Awards
HFA = 17th Hollywood Film Awards
HFPA = 71st Golden Globe Awards
IAFS = 41st Annie Awards
IDA = 29th International Documentary Association Awards
IFP = 23rd Gotham Independent Film Awards
IPA = 18th Satellite Awards
LAFCA = 39th Los Angeles Film Critics Association Awards
MPSE = 61st Golden Reel Awards
MUHS = ? Makeup Artists and Hair Stylists Guild Awards
NBR = 85th National Board of Review Awards
NSFC = 48th National Society of Film Critics Awards
NYFCC = 79th New York Film Critics Circle Awards
NYFCO = 13th New York Film Critics Online Awards
PGA = 25th Producers Guild of America Awards
SAG = 20th Screen Actors Guild Awards
SC = 2nd Screenwriters Choice Awards
SUN = 29th Sundance Film Festival
TIFF = 38th Toronto International Film Festival
USC = 26th USC Scripter Awards
VES = 12th Visual Effects Society Awards
WGA = 66th Writers Guild of America Awards
Twitter: @ScottFeinberg
