
Edge of Tomorrow Film Still - H 2014
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This story first appeared in the May 16 issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.
Maleficent (MAY 30)
Budget: $175 million-plus
Why it’s vulnerable: Disney’s fairy tale might need to gross $500 million worldwide just to recoup.
Path to success: Frozen has revived interest in princesses.
Hot seat: $20 million star Angelina Jolie and first-time director Robert Stromberg.
Edge of Tomorrow (JUNE 6)
Budget: $175 million-plus
Why it’s vulnerable: The Warner Bros. sci-fi epic feels just like Tom Cruise‘s last (soft) film, Oblivion.
Path to success: Overseas: Oblivion grossing nearly $200 million internationally, compared with $89.1 million domestically.
Hot seat: Cruise and director Doug Liman, who needs a hit.
STORY: Summer Box-Office Forecast–Studio-by-Studio Breakdown
Jupiter Ascending (JULY 18)
Budget: $150 million
Why it’s vulnerable: The Wachowskis‘ last film, Cloud Atlas, failed ($130 million global).
Path to success: The Matrix filmmakers have appealing stars in Channing Tatum and Mila Kunis.
Hot seat: Tatum (in pointy ears).
Hercules (JULY 25)
Budget: $100 million
Why it’s vulnerable: Sandal movies largely have failed of late.
Path to success: Bankable global star Dwayne Johnson.
Hot seat: MGM and Paramount, which co-financed.
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (AUG. 8)
Budget: $120 million
Why it’s vulnerable: TMNT have been out of movies for 20 years.
Path to success: Cross-generational appeal.
Hot seat: Producer Michael Bay.
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