Is Netflix A Bargain?
Amid the stock slide and Qwikster debacle, some see opportunity.
Netflix stock rose from $35 to $300 a share in the 2 1/2 years ending in July. That's when investors should have sold because since then, the price has been halved. But there are still a few bulls who see the dramatic slide as a buying opportunity. Ingrid Chung at Goldman Sachs, for example, maintains her "buy" recommendation, telling clients the Reed Hastings-led company should climb back to $270 in the next six months (the stock was at $128.50 on Sept. 21). Chung says the recent defection of 1 million customers was due to unwarranted negative press about a Sept. 1 price increase and the split of the company's streaming service and DVD-by-mail, which will be called Qwikster. Would-be competitors, including Dish Network's Blockbuster, will find tough barriers to entering the subscription streaming business, she adds. Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson also remains bullish on Netflix, with a price target of $300. But Piper Jaffray analysts acknowledge there are other dangers lurking. The firm wrote, "If Amazon or Google purchases Hulu, shares of Netflix would likely respond negatively."