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Oscars: Golden Globe and SAG Award Noms, Snubs Only Shape Race So Much

Some Oscar nom prospects — Michael Stuhlbarg ('Call Me by Your Name') and Tiffany Haddish ('Girls Trip') — have been written off after they were omitted from both lists, while others — Denzel Washington ('Roman J. Israel, Esq.') and Judi Dench ('Victoria & Abdul') — are being discussed as slam-dunks after being included on both. THR's awards columnist explains why such conclusions are premature.